The executive order would prevent federal agencies and the government-sponsored enterprises from facilitating the acquisition of a single-family home by a large institutional investor.
Mortgage rates declined slightly in the government-insured market after the Trump administration directed Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to purchase a combined $200 billion in agency mortgage-backed securities.
Amit Siroya, managing director of residential investments, asset-based finance, at Barings, said RTL originations could slow in certain pockets that are seeing volatility in home prices.
The last time a single company held more than $1.0 trillion of agency servicing was 2019, near the end of the reign of Wells Fargo atop the servicing market.
Michael Fratantoni, chief economist and a senior vice president of research and business development at the Mortgage Bankers Association, predicted that interest rates will largely stay above 6.0% in 2026 and 2027.
Volume with primary MI was up sharply in the fourth quarter of 2025 at both the government-sponsored enterprises and the Department of Veterans Affairs, while FHA volume lagged to some extent.