Industry analysts are generally optimistic that most of the large consumer ABS sectors will probably see a stable, positive year in 2016. However, they’re not very gung-ho about what kind of a year the government-backed student loan space is going to have. Analysts at Wells Fargo Securities think that consumer ABS should offer good relative value next year, based on solid credit fundamentals and robust structural protections. “We expect spreads to tighten in 2016 as the primary market recovers and the yield curve flattens along with Federal Reserve tightening,” they said in a recent outlook. “Spreads are likely to stay volatile and event-driven.” Further, “Weak demand and poor liquidity have been...

Two investment banking firms – Interactive Mortgage Advisors and MountainView Servicing Group – have at least $17 billion (combined) in mortgage servicing rights auctions in the works, a sign that the sector is heating up as the year draws to a close. Several other advisory firms have announced deals in the past few weeks, including The Prestwick Group and Mortgage Industry Advisory Corp. Also, sources contend that investment banker Houlihan Lokey is busy as well, though company officials there declined to comment for this story. Mark Garland, president of MountainView, said...

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have seen modest growth in programs launched early this year to serve downpayment-challenged borrowers, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance analysis of loan-level data on agency mortgage-backed securities. Ginnie Mae has accounted for 94.5 percent of purchase mortgages with loan-to-value ratios ranging from 95.1 percent to 97.0 percent that were securitized by the three agencies during the first 11 months of 2015. Because LTV data is not available for all loans in Ginnie MBS, the agency’s actual share of these high-LTV loans is likely somewhat higher. Fannie and Freddie have established...[Includes one data table]

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae produced just $86.69 billion of single-family MBS during November, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. Last month’s production was down 19.1 percent from October’s volume and represented the weakest issuance since the agency MBS market started to take off in February of this year. All three agencies saw...[Includes two data tables]

A non-agency MBS sponsored by CarVal Investors issued this week includes a new fee-based compensation structure for one of the servicers involved in the $474.2 million transaction. Mill City Mortgage Loan Trust 2015-1 is backed by re-performing mortgages that had seasoned for nearly nine years, on average. Some 90.1 percent of the loans had received modifications and almost all of the mortgages in the deal were current at the time of issuance. Shellpoint Mortgage Servicing will service...

PIMCO led non-agency MBS investors in the filing of a class-action lawsuit against Citibank last week, alleging that Citi didn’t adequately perform trustee duties on MBS issued before the financial crisis. The lawsuit claims violations of New York’s Streit Act, which has been cited in several other lawsuits against trustees. PIMCO et al v Citibank was filed in New York’s state supreme court. Other investors involved in the filing include AEGON, Kore Advisors, Prudential and Sealink Funding Limited, and the plaintiffs aim to include all that have invested in 25 non-agency MBS where Citi is the trustee. The deals were issued...

Morningstar Credit Ratings proposed new criteria this week to rate residential MBS. The rating service published similar criteria in May but Morningstar has only rated one deal backed by new residential mortgages since then. The biggest addition in the proposed criteria details how Morningstar plans to handle transactions that include primary mortgage insurance. The provision could help Morningstar rate risk-sharing transactions from the government-sponsored enterprises. The rating service said...

An increase in interest rates by the Federal Reserve is likely to be accompanied by a change to a Fed program that could have a significant impact on investors’ cost to finance purchases of MBS, according to industry analysts. The Fed could increase interest rates as soon as Dec. 16. In a report released this week, analysts at Deutsche Bank Securities noted that Fed officials have discussed removing a cap on the Fed’s overnight reverse-repurchase program when interest rates increase. “That program will almost surely put...

Among the regulatory initiatives underway at the Securities and Exchange Commission is a potential crack-down on conflicts of interest at credit rating agencies. In the SEC’s latest regulatory agenda, the agency noted that its Office of Credit Ratings is “considering recommending that the commission propose rules and amendments designed to address the conflicts of interest associated with the issuer-pay business model.” In other words, at issue is...

Most mortgage lenders reported a significant uptick in purchase-mortgage originations during the third quarter of 2015, though there is little sign that originators are lowering credit standards to stimulate more business. According to revised estimates by Inside Mortgage Finance, purchase-mortgage originations climbed 10.7 percent from the second to the third quarter of this year, hitting $280 billion. At that level, the purchase market was the strongest it has been since the third quarter of 2007. At the same time, credit standards – at least in the agency market – have eased...[Includes two data tables]