The unexpected decline in mortgage rates this year has moved a significant portion of the agency MBS market into the zone where it’s worthwhile for borrowers to refinance, according to a new analysis of agency MBS data by Inside MBS & ABS. As of the end of December, some 24.4 percent of loans backing Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae MBS had mortgage rates ranging from 4.01 percent to 4.50 percent. Altogether, $1.500 trillion of existing single-family mortgages were in that bucket. According to Inside Mortgage Finance, the average offering rate for 30-year fixed-rate conventional mortgages this week was...[Includes one data table]

Delivery of FHA loans into Ginnie Mae pools declined 21.6 percent in the fourth quarter from the previous quarter, with correspondents accounting for the bulk of FHA loans securitized during the period, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of Ginnie Mae data. FHA loans securitized in Ginnie mortgage-backed securities totaled $57.8 billion in the fourth quarter. Approximately $40.6 billion were purchase loans, down 20.6 percent from the previous quarter. MBS backed by FHA refinance loans totaled $17.2 billion, down 23.9 percent from the prior quarter. Correspondents and retail lenders accounted...[Includes two data tables]

Commercial banks and savings institutions continued their buying spree in the MBS market during the fourth quarter of 2015, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. Banks and thrifts held a record $1.644 trillion of residential MBS in their available-for-sale and held-to-maturity portfolios as of the end of last year. That was up 2.2 percent from the third quarter and represented a 6.8 percent gain over 12 months. All of the increase came...[Includes two data tables]

Mortgage originators selling loans into MBS last week likely were hit with “pair-off” fees from secondary-market investors who were expecting delivery of higher-yielding mortgages, a proposition complicated by the sudden downdraft in rates. As one secondary market executive noted: “A forward sale into an MBS is not a perfect hedge. Then again, nothing is a perfect hedge.” Originators that fund billions of dollars each quarter use...

The proposed fiscal year 2017 Ginnie Mae staff budget will meet current operational needs, but staffing for the long term will have to be reevaluated, according to GNMA President Ted Tozer. Tozer said the proposed agency budget of $23 million for personnel costs, “along with leveraging contractors and carefully prioritizing hires,” will meet the agency’s current needs. However, officials will take a hard look at its staffing requirements “from a long-term, strategic point of view,” he noted. Tozer was reportedly disappointed...

Issuers and investors involved in the securitization market are pushing the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision to revise its proposed capital standards for “simple, transparent and comparable” securitization. The BCBS issued a proposal in November and the comment period closed this month. The Structured Finance Industry Group reiterated concerns about international regulatory efforts that will create a “patchwork” of standards and limit securitization, while others pushed back on the exclusion of synthetic transactions from the proposed criteria for STC transactions. “We continue...

Late last week, Moody’s Investors Service published an analysis detailing risks from mortgage warehouse securitizations. The warning was published days after a $225.0 million deal from Jefferies Funding was issued with a Aaa rating from Moody’s. Analysts at Moody’s stressed that securitized mortgage warehouse facilities face risks that differ from traditional residential MBS. The analysts said Station Place Securitization Trust 2016-1 from Jefferies addressed the risks, prompting the Aaa rating. Station Place was backed...

Morningstar Credit Ratings changed the way it rates residential MBS to allow credit for mortgage insurance. After getting a number of inquiries about the use of mortgage insurance in new MBS, the firm said it decided to enhance its methodology to provide a clearer framework for how the ratings agency approaches mortgage insurance. While mortgage insurance does not necessarily affect a borrower’s probability of default, it may decrease loss severities, according to Morningstar. “Our methodology now gives credit to mortgage insurance in some cases up to the AAA ratings level,” said Brian Grow, managing director of RMBS for Morningstar. “MI’s potential impact on default is...

The Bank of New York Mellon, acting as trustee, has petitioned the New York State Supreme Court for instructions for paying out Bank of America’s $8.5 billion cash settlement with Countrywide MBS investors, which could potentially alter the order of payment, according to an analysis by Moody’s Investors Service. The governing MBS documents and the settlement agreement are complicated, nuanced and ambiguous, the rating service noted. Without guidance from the state court, BNYM, as trustee for 530 RMBS trusts, could decide on a payout that could favor certain bondholders unexpectedly. The massive payout has been delayed...

Private mortgage insurers saw spirited competition in 2015, both within their own ranks and against a surge in government-insured products, especially the FHA program, according to a new market analysis and ranking by Inside Mortgage Finance. Private MIs wrote coverage on an estimated $219.64 billion in mortgage originations last year, a 23.2 percent increase from 2014. The estimate includes $315 million in coverage on Home Affordable Refinance Program loans provided by the three MIs in run-off mode. The private MI business surge included...[Includes three data tables]