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FHA, VA Outpace Private MIs in ’15, VA Lending Surges in Old Dominion

March 11, 2016
With only a few isolated exceptions, VA and FHA lending was up sharply across the country last year, outstripping the private mortgage insurance business in nearly every state of the U.S., according to a new analysis by Inside FHA/VA Lending. Overall, FHA single-family mortgages securitized by Ginnie Mae increased 60.5 percent from 2014 and VA production was up 39.4 percent. Meanwhile, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac posted a more subdued 26.2 percent increase in privately-insured loan volume. California remained the biggest mortgage market for the FHA, VA and private MIs, as well as uninsured mortgages. The FHA clearly won the mortgage insurance battle, boosting its share of insured loans in the Golden State from 41.1 percent in 2014 to 49.2 percent last year thanks to a whopping 89.8 percent jump in business. California had one of the highest concentrations of ... [ 3 charts ]
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USDA MBS Issuance Down in 2015, Leading Five Issuers Lose Share

March 11, 2016
Ginnie Mae securitization of rural home loans declined in 2015 as securitization volume in the segment fell in the fourth quarter, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of Ginnie Mae data. A total of $18.1 billion in USDA loans were securitized in 2015, with the top five issuers accounting for $10.2 billion delivered into Ginnie (based on numbers below) MBS pools. Some $4.5 billion of MBS backed by rural home loans with the U.S. Department of Agriculture guarantee were issued in the fourth quarter, down 12.5 percent from the previous quarter. USDA MBS issuance also dropped 9.0 percent in 2015 from 2014 volume levels, with all of the top five issuers losing ground year-over-year as well as in the fourth quarter. Chase Home Finance remained the top issuer of securitized rural home loans, accounting for $5.6 billion in Ginnie MBS issuances last year. Second-place Wells Fargo, ... [ 1 chart ]
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Agency MBS Issuance Fades in February, But Primary Market is Primed for Refinance Surge

March 4, 2016
Agency issuance of single-family MBS declined by 9.5 percent from January to February, largely based on a seasonal slump in purchase-mortgage activity, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae produced a total of $80.49 billion of single-family MBS in February, their lowest combined monthly output since November 2014. The biggest decline was in purchase-mortgage activity, which fell 14.9 percent for the month. The refinance sector held up...[Includes two data tables]
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Non-Agency MBS Reform Efforts Make Slow Progress As Investors Outline Principles for Deal Agent Role

March 4, 2016
A working group led by potential investors in new non-agency MBS detailed principles for the role of a deal agent this week, signifying some progress in reform efforts. However, a revival of the non-agency MBS market looks a ways off as other industry participants consider how a deal agent will actually function. “We are now at a transition point for non-agency MBS reform efforts, where some market participants can start moving from a principles-level discussion to contractual negotiations,” Monique Rollins, deputy assistant secretary at the Treasury Department, said at the ABS Vegas conference produced by Information Management Network and the Structured Finance Industry Group. The Treasury helped facilitate...
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Securitization Industry Participants Highlight a Drop in Liquidity, Regulation Seen as the Culprit

March 4, 2016
Years of warnings from securities issuers and investors about regulatory uncertainty appear to have shifted to actual consequences as liquidity in the MBS and ABS markets has declined significantly in recent months. Almost every panel session at the ABS Vegas conference produced by Information Management Network and the Structured Finance Industry Group this week included comments regarding liquidity and regulation. Daniel McGarvey, the head of U.S. asset-backed products origination at Societe Generale, noted that in recent months spreads on MBS and ABS have increased due to illiquidity. “Credit risk is not currently a driver of credit spreads,” he said. “This should be a concern for all of us in the securitization market.” Delinquencies and losses, traditional factors in liquidity, remain...
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After Forcing a Deal with Standard & Poor’s in 2015, Justice Department May Decide Moody’s Fate Soon

March 4, 2016
The U.S. Department of Justice will reportedly decide within the next few months whether or not to bring the hammer down on Moody’s Corp. for allegedly overstating its ratings on MBS transactions in the run-up to the financial crisis, Bloomberg reported last week, citing “people familiar with the matter.” According to the news account, the Justice Department is scrutinizing credit ratings that Moody’s assigned during the housing boom and trying to determine if the firm massaged its criteria to earn business from Wall Street banks that were bundling residential mortgages into securities. A proposed settlement has apparently been...[Includes one data table]
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To Hold Residential MBS or Not – That is the Question; Banks and Mortgage REITs Trying to Figure It Out

March 4, 2016
The great irony of the mortgage market can be found in the MBS holdings of depositories: Even though banks are ceding origination market share to nondepositories, they continue to gobble up bonds backed by home mortgages. As Inside MBS & ABS noted last month, bank holdings of residential MBS hit a record $1.643 trillion at yearend 2015, a 2.2 percent sequential gain. Of course, a large chunk of that gain can be explained by Bank of America increasing its MBS holdings by a hefty $36.7 billion during the fourth quarter. The big question for banks – as well as real estate investment trusts – is...
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Non-Agency Single-Property Investor Loans Are Re-emerging, With a Twist, Ratings Service Says

March 4, 2016
Analysts at Morningstar Credit Ratings have begun to see non-agency single-property investor loans materialize with a new twist: less dependence on the borrower’s ability to repay and more reliance on the cash flow stream of rental income. “The majority of loans made to landlords backed by single properties are underwritten as consumer loans, not business-purpose loans. The lender will scrutinize the borrower’s credit, income and assets,” RMBS analysts Brian Grow, Becky Cao and Olgay Cangur said in a new report. Also, rental income is included as part of the borrower’s overall income when calculating the borrower’s personal debt/income ratio and, thus, the probability of default. “Recently, Morningstar has been presented...
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First-Time Buyers Help Sustain Purchase-Mortgage Market in Late 2015, Refi Volume Steady at Yearend

March 3, 2016
The purchase-mortgage market took the biggest hit during the fourth-quarter slowdown in mortgage originations, but strength in first-time buyer activity helped soften the blow. According to a new Inside Mortgage Finance analysis and ranking, refi originations held steady at $175 billion during the fourth quarter. Although refinance activity in the second half of 2015 was down sharply from the first six months of the year, it was still significantly stronger than at any time in 2014 and year-to-date refi originations were up 60.0 percent in 2015. The purchase-mortgage market also grew...[Includes three data tables]
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CA Supreme Court’s ‘Narrow’ Ruling on RMBS Foreclosure Could Have Broad Ramifications

February 26, 2016
The California Supreme Court late last week issued a ruling in a case where a borrower challenged the foreclosure of a loan that was included in a non-agency MBS issued in 2007. The court allowed the borrower’s claims to proceed, which could prompt a significant increase in foreclosure-related litigation for California mortgages in non-agency MBS. An opinion authored by Kathryn Werdegar, an associate justice of the California Supreme Court, stresses that the court’s ruling in Yvanova v. New Century Mortgage is narrow. “We hold only that a borrower who has suffered a non-judicial foreclosure does not lack standing to sue for wrongful foreclosure based on an allegedly void assignment merely because he or she was in default on the loan and was not a party to the challenged assignment,” Werdegar said. The ruling left...
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