Legislative proposals for a TBA market backed by non-agency MBS as an alternative to a market driven by government-sponsored enterprises lack precedence and are full of unknowns, according to analysts. “While this is a laudable effort – and a necessary one in order to remove the government’s sup-port from the housing finance market – the extent to which private enterprise will be able to pick up the slack the GSEs leave behind is unknown,” said Benjamin Feldman, a housing policy analyst and advocate. Peter Wallison, an Arthur F. Burns fellow in financial...

Both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac retained their hefty shares of mortgage-backed securities with something of a bump during the third quarter of 2011, according to a new Inside The GSEs analysis.The GSEs issued a combined $174.8 billion in MBS in the third quarter, a 12.8 percent increase from the second quarter. Compared to the third quarter of 2010, Fannie and Freddie saw an 11.2 percent decrease in MBS issuance during the first nine months of the year.

The Government Accountability Office recently confirmed the view widely held in the mortgage finance industry that federal regulators are not doing enough to analyze the cost and other effects of implementing the Dodd-Frank Act. “Little is known about the actual impact of the final Dodd-Frank Act rules, given the short amount of time the rules have been in effect,” the GAO said. The government watchdog noted that federal financial regulators are required to perform a variety of analyses, but the requirements vary and none of the regulators are...

A proposed Senate bill to steadily wind down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac over the course of a decade appears to have some support at the Federal Housing Finance Agency, where the acting director is eager for Congress to move toward resolving the three-year-old conservatorships of the two government-sponsored enterprises. S. 1834, the Residential Mortgage Market Privatization and Standardization Act of 2011 would gradually reduce the two GSEs over 10 years through an unusual mechanism. Instead of guaranteeing the entire MBS trust as they...

Freddie Mac this week announced a new class of single-family MBS backed by mortgages previously repurchased from MBS because they were in serious delinquency. Both government-sponsored enterprises began aggressively buying seriously delinquent loans out of their MBS trusts at the beginning of 2010 because new accounting rules required them to consolidate all their outstanding MBS on their balance sheets. Buying the distressed loans out of the MBS trusts had no impact on their financial accounting, but it allowed them to better manage...

Although primary market lenders will face fewer hurdles in originating refinance loans for underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac borrowers, detailed guidelines released by the government-sponsored enterprises this week confirm that it will take several months before the expanded programs are fully implemented. And when they are, the revamped Home Affordable Refinance Program will generate up to one million new loans that otherwise wouldn’t have happened, according to estimates by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods. That’s just about what the market expected, and it will mean... (Includes one data chart)

Four years after the credit crisis, analysts at Fitch Ratings expect eventual losses from structured finance transactions to soar from current levels, about $94 billion, or 2.7 percent of the original balance of rated transactions, to $376 billion, or 10.6 percent, by the time the dust settles. And the primary culprit, of course, is residential MBS. “Fitch expects a further 9,754 tranches to not recover their full principal, representing 33 percent of all tranches and increasing the proportion of tranches with realized or expected losses to 63 percent of the total...

An underwater borrower’s strategic decision to default on a mortgage is triggered not only by economic conditions but how fast the notion can be transmitted throughout a society, which could either result in a full market recovery or a systemic collapse, according to a new mortgage industry study. The study, Strategic Default in the Context of a Social Network: An Epidemiological Approach, suggests that the key to understanding strategic default is to look at it in terms of a disease and how contagious it is. “As social animals, humans knowingly or otherwise look to their peers before...

The National Credit Union Administration this week announced settlement agreements with Deutsche Bank Securities and Citigroup stemming from their roles as underwriters that sold non-agency MBS to credit unions that eventually failed. Deutsche Bank is paying the bigger amount, $145.0 million, while Citi’s payment will be $20.5 million. Neither firm admitted fault as part of the settlement. The proceeds from the settlements will be used to offset assessments that the NCUA has levied against credit unions to pay the cost of cleaning up the failures of...

The high-cost loan limits for FHA mortgages will be re-elevated to $729,750 through at least the end of 2013 while the government-sponsored enterprises’ loan limits will remain unchanged under appropriations legislation approved by Congress this week. Industry participants suggest that the FHA’s newly higher loan limits will have little impact on non-agency jumbo activity. The revised FHA loan limits were included in “mini-bus” appropriations legislation for the Department of Housing and Urban Development and other federal agencies. The bill – which also contained a Continuing Resolution to avoid a government shutdown – was...