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Inside MBS & ABS
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Can the TBA MBS Market Survive Without a Government Guarantee?

September 16, 2011
The ongoing debate over the need for a government guarantee to sustain the benefits of the to-be-announced MBS market moved this week to the Senate Housing, Banking and Urban Development Committee, where researchers covered both sides of the issue for a group of lawmakers who aren’t likely to act on their counsel any time soon. “Proponents of privatization ignore that the jumbo market does benefit from a government guarantee indirectly in multiple ways,” said Adam Levitin, professor of law at Georgetown University. “The jumbo market has long aped the standards set by the [government-sponsored enterprises] in the conforming market, including...
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Fitch Ratings Finalizes Its New RMBS Loan Loss Model With a Number of Additional Enhancements

September 16, 2011
Fitch Ratings has finalized its new residential MBS loan loss model, with several additional enhancements designed to better address risks that drive defaults and losses, such as a new variable known as “sustainable loan-to-value,” which represents a borrower’s effective equity in the property. “When gauging credit risk for new U.S. residential mortgage loans, borrower equity is key,” explained Kevin Duignan, group managing director and head of U.S. structured finance for Fitch. “The core principle underpinning the framework is the interaction between borrower equity and market value declines in determining expected loss for...
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FHLBanks Remain True to Agency MBS

September 16, 2011
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgage-backed securities continued to be the preferred investment option for the Federal Home Loan Banks during the second quarter of 2011 with only a paltry decrease from the previous quarter, according to a new analysis and ranking by Inside The GSEs based on data provided by the Federal Housing Finance Agency.Ginnie Mae securities, meanwhile, continued to grow in popularity within the FHLBank system during the quarter.
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Issa Demands Answers on Fannie, BofA Deal

September 16, 2011
The chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee announced late this week that he has opened an investigation into a reported deal struck last month in which Fannie Mae agreed to buy some of Bank of America’s home-loan portfolio.In a letter sent to Federal Housing Finance Agency Acting Director Edward DeMarco, Rep. Darrell Issa, R-CA, requested the FHFA provide the committee documents and a “full explanation of the agency’s decision-making process” regarding the purchase.
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Lawyer: Settle FHFA-Bank Lawsuits Quick

September 16, 2011
The massive legal action that the Federal Housing Finance Agency has initiated against many of the nation’s big lenders on behalf of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac needs to be resolved forthwith, says an industry attorney, before a prolonged litigation “feeding frenzy” and resulting uncertainty paralyze mortgage market participants.Two weeks ago, the Finance Agency filed legal papers contending that the 17 financial institutions which sold Fannie and Freddie $196 billion of mortgage-backed securities, mostly between 2005 and 2008, duped the GSEs into buying tens of billions of dollars of MBS that went south after the housing bubble burst.
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Fannie, Freddie Reported to Be In Settlement Talks with SEC

September 16, 2011
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are reportedly in talks with the Securities and Exchange Commission to settle claims that the two GSEs failed to disclose to investors the companies’ exposure to risky subprime mortgages prior to the 2008 housing market crash.
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Senate Panel Still Mulling Competing Theories On Role of Government in Mortgage Finance

September 15, 2011
The Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee may not be moving any closer to a decision on reforming the mortgage finance system, but lawmakers should be getting well versed in the various analytic perspectives on the role of the federal government. At a hearing this week, the committee heard testimony from researchers who support winding down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac as soon as possible and others who say private capital won’t be drawn back into the system unless there is a government guarantee. “There’s absolutely no reason to believe that private capital would immediately step-up – even if it would eventually...
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Industry, Lawmaker Say Narrow QRM Rule Would Have Dire Results for FHA, Return of Private Capital

September 15, 2011
A Senate lawmaker and the Mortgage Bankers Association warned House lawmakers that a narrow “qualified residential mortgage” rule will result in overuse of the FHA program and make it more difficult for private capital to re-enter the housing finance market. Testifying before the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Insurance, Housing and Economic Opportunity last week, Sen. Johnny Isakson, R-GA, said the six federal agencies charged with crafting risk-retention requirements apparently failed to consider the impact of a narrow QRM rule on the FHA program. Isakson, who co-authored a Senate exception to...
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Experts: FHFA Lawsuits to Recover MBS Losses Likely To Delay Mortgage Market’s Move Away From GSEs

September 9, 2011
The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s legal action late last week against many of the nation’s largest financial institutions on the grounds they misled Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac about the quality of subprime and Alt A MBS purchased by the government-sponsored enterprises has few positives but plenty of negative potential consequences for the market, experts say. The 17 separate lawsuits filed by the FHFA seek unspecified damages on $196 billion in mortgage securities the two GSEs purchased, mostly between 2005 and 2008. The agency conducted extensive loan-level reviews that allegedly revealed widespread discrepancies between... [Includes two pages of data]
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CBO Says Private Investors Could Lose $15 Billion From Juiced Up Refinance Program

September 9, 2011
Private investors in agency MBS could lose $13 billion to $15 billion from a new government effort to help current Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and FHA borrowers refinance, according to a new Congressional Budget Office staff working paper. The Obama administration is expected to announce a revved-up refinance program as part of a new strategy to strengthen economic growth. A “stylized” refinance program analyzed by the CBO would have a relatively small impact on the overall economy, the analysts said. The biggest impact would be on private MBS investors and the estimated 2.9 million households that would likely be brought into the...
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