The U.S. residential housing market used to provide the lion’s share of business for non-agency asset securitization, but experts at this week’s American Securitization Forum say it will take years for the sorely damaged housing market to recover and the nationalized mortgage finance system to be overhauled. Supply and demand fundamentals in the housing market are severely broken, said Laurie Goodman, senior managing director at Amherst Securities Group. There are some 2.9 million borrowers in foreclosure or more than 12 months delinquent, plus another 400,000 units of real estate-owned properties. With...

Government regulators continue to wrestle with the controversial risk-retention rule mandated by the Dodd-Frank Act that is widely seen as one key to the prospects for reviving the non-agency MBS market. Officials from one of the agencies involved in the rulemaking told attendees at this week’s annual meeting of the American Securitization Forum that regulators are still studying the landslide of comment letters that came in response to a proposed rule published in April 2011. The extended comment period closed in August. “It is in the nature of the rulemaking process that an advanced notice of proposed...

MBS and ABS markets in the U.S. are increasingly being shaped by global forces, from the impact of the European debt crisis to the worldwide adoption of new international regulatory standards and the surge in Euro securitizations that’s taking up some of the slack from the depressed U.S. non-agency MBS sector. There was an unmistakable international flavor to the ASF 2012 conference sponsored by the American Securitization Forum in Las Vegas this week. A significant number of the more than 5,000 attendees – an ASF record – came from outside the U.S., and numerous panels were devoted to global issues...

With a price tag of $100 billion required to forgive the principal of underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages, the best bet for the government-sponsored enterprises and for taxpayers is for the GSEs to pursue a policy of principal forbearance, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said. This week, the FHFA released its analysis conducted in 2010 following numerous requests and an eventual threat of subpoena by House Democrats. The agency’s number crunchers found that “principal reduction never serves the long-term interest of the taxpayer when compared to foreclosure.” As of June 30, 2011, Fannie and Freddie...

The transition to a housing market not completely dominated by agency financing will result in higher costs for borrowers, according to some industry participants at the American Securitization Forum annual conference held this week in Las Vegas. Even proposed risk sharing between non-agency mortgage-backed security investors and the government-sponsored enterprises is cause for concern.“I just don’t see it working all that well,” said Garry Cipponeri, a senior vice president and director of capital markets at Chase Mortgage Banking. He suggested that risk sharing could ultimately...

Congress should repeal legislation raising the FHA’s maximum loan limit before the agency’s losses skyrocket, triggering a massive taxpayer bailout, warned the American Enterprise Institute. In a new research paper, Peter Wallison and Edward Pinto, resident fellows at the AEI, urged Congress to correct its mistake of restoring the pre-Oct. 1 temporary maximum loan limits of $729,750 for FHA while leaving Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac at the lower “permanent” high-cost loan limit of $625,500 set by Congress in 2008. “Congress should bite the bullet – recognize the losses that are already embedded in the FHA’s insurance fund and adopt reforms to the agency’s accounting and underwriting that will stop the bleeding,” the two public policy analysts said. Last fall, the FHA came under fire from Republicans and conservatives after an independent actuarial review of the agency’s Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund found ...

Only five non-agency mortgage-backed securities were issued in 2011 that were not re-securitizations, servicer advances or agency-related deals, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance MBS Database. Some $27.59 billion in non-agency MBS were issued in 2011, nearly all of which was re-MBS. The five transactions, totaling $1.31 billion, accounted for 4.7 percent of all non-agency MBS issued in 2011. The $1.31 billion in issuance was nearly evenly divided among newly originated jumbo mortgages included in two securities issued by Redwood Trust and three securities backed by seasoned loans from other issuers ... [Includes one data chart]

Well-known jumbo originators contributed most of the collateral for Redwood Trust’s pending $415.73 million non-agency mortgage-backed security, but a handful of smaller lenders also benefitted from Redwood’s jumbo correspondent program. These lenders have little securitization experience but received strong endorsements from rating services and due-diligence firms. Redwood purchased most of the loans to be included in Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1 on a flow basis, according to Kroll Bond Rating Agency. Flagstar Bank led the smaller originators, with $31.84 million of its loans included in the security ...

Redwood Trust is set to issue a $415.73 million non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed security by the end of this month, continuing its run as the only issuer of new non-agency MBS. Unlike its three previous securities issued in 2010 and 2011, the real estate investment trust has faced little criticism from rating services regarding the characteristics of the new MBS. Fitch Ratings and, in a first, Kroll Bond Rating Agency are set to place AAA ratings on Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2012-1, which includes a pool of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, ARMs and 15-year fixed-rate mortgages, 446 loans in all. Standard & Poor’s and Moody’s Investors Service were critical of Redwood’s previous deals and will not place ratings on the new issuance ...

Principal reduction to ease negative equity situations may have a lot of positive effects for homeowners, but recent research suggests it may have little impact on worker mobility. A forthcoming working paper by Sam Schulhofer-Wohl, of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, contends that research showing underwater borrowers are 33 percent less likely to move to better employment markets is flawed because it ignores key data. In an analysis of Census Bureau housing data, Schulhofer-Wohl reached the opposite conclusion, that underwater borrowers are more likely to move, suggesting that principal...