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The Seasonal Downturn Strikes: GSE Production Declined in February

March 5, 2018
John Bancroft
Business levels at the two were not the same: Fannie MBS issuance was down 14.1 percent from January, while Freddie production was up 0.5 percent…
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Fannie Mae Keeping Tabs on the CFPB’s Ability-to-Repay Rule

March 5, 2018
Fannie Mae is keeping a close watch on any future changes to the CFPB’s ability-to-repay/qualified mortgage rule, saying whatever happens could have a “material effect on the quality and quantity of loans available for sale to us.” Roughly a year ago, the CFPB announced it would begin its statutorily-mandated assessment of the ATR and QM provisions. “The CFPB is required to assess the effectiveness of the regulations in light of its stated goals and to publish a report, after public comment, on whether ...
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UI Report Says Current Cross-Subsidy Plan Could Work Better

March 2, 2018
The cross-subsidization baked into current GSE guarantee-fee pricing could be made to work better, according to Urban Institute researchers. Current GSE pricing under guidelines from the Federal Housing Finance Agency are not fully adjusted to risk: low-risk borrowers pay a little more than they should and higher-risk borrowers pay a little less. Urban Institute researchers Jim Parrott and Laurie Goodman in a new paper say there are shortcomings in the existing cross-subsidy system that result in support going to borrowers who may not need it. “First, it does not effectively target those who need the help,” they said, adding that close to one of four beneficiaries of the subsidy are not in the low- to moderate-income category.
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GSE MBS Production Declined in February, Footprint Fading

March 2, 2018
February was another uneven month in terms of single-family business at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.The two GSEs issued a total of $61.04 billion of single-family MBS last month, a 9.5 percent drop from January. A decline in February is not unusual; it’s near the lull in the purchase-mortgage market and has fewer business days. But business levels at the two GSEs were not at all the same. Fannie MBS issuance was down 14.1 percent from January, while Freddie production was up 0.5 percent. Still, month-to-month variation in business flows are common in the GSE market. Fannie and Freddie are also in the process of implementing new capital regimes during the first quarter under the direction of the Federal Housing Finance Agency.
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AEI Proposal Seeks to Wind Down GSEs Without Legislation

March 2, 2018
In the latest proposal for reforming the GSEs, the American Enterprise Institute this week recommended winding down Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac by way of “administrative action” to make room for the private market. The conservative think tank said a government guarantee for mortgage-backed securities is not necessary for an effective housing-finance system. Noting that the term of Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt expires in January 2019, AEI said many of its recommendations could be implemented by whomever President Trump taps to take over the agency. “This is important since Congress has been unable to develop or agree on a workable housing-finance system since the financial crisis nine and a half years ago,” said AEI.
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Is it Too Soon to Start Talking About Mel Watt’s Successor?

March 2, 2018
Although Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt has nearly 11 months left on his term, that isn’t stopping the mortgage rumor mill from talking about who might succeed him. At the very least, no one in the industry has predicted that Watt, a former Democratic Congressman from North Carolina, would be offered a second, five-year term. Two names that are being actively discussed in the industry are Mark Calabria, chief economist to Vice President Mike Pence, and Craig Phillips, who currently serves as counselor to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin. Of course, just because the industry is talking about them, doesn’t necessarily mean the White House is. Both men are quite familiar with the...
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Supreme Court Declines to Hear GSE Shareholders Case

March 2, 2018
GSE shareholders lost their latest battle against the government’s preferred stock purchase agreement as the U.S. Supreme Court declined to hear their case last week. After a lower court ruled against claims arguing the validity of the Treasury sweep of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac profits, investors hoped to plead their case to the high court. Plaintiffs, including Fairholme Funds, Perry Capital and other shareholders, filed a writ of certiorari last year asking the Supreme Court to intervene in their cases. Both Perry and Fairholme have large holdings of the GSEs’ preferred shares. Back in 2014, a judge for the District of Columbia U.S. District Court dismissed claims brought against the government saying that the Housing and Economic Recovery Act of 2008 gives...
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NY Fed Reserve Suggests Improvements to GSE CRTs

March 2, 2018
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York said the GSEs’ credit-risk transfer programs are a positive step towards reforming the housing-finance system and suggested a few improvements, including expanding the investor base. In a FRBNY report titled “Credit-Risk Transfer and De Facto GSE Reform,” the authors credit the CRT initiative for improving the stability of the housing-finance system and advancing a number of objectives critical to GSE reform. CRTs have reduced the GSEs’ exposure to mortgage credit risk without disrupting the stability of the secondary mortgage market, they said, adding that they have also created a growing new financial market for pricing and trading risk.
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Hensarling, Watt Disagree on Housing Trust Fund Payments

March 2, 2018
Rep. Jeb Hensarling, R-TX, wrote Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt demanding he explain why Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will continue to make contributions to affordable housing funds while needing a draw from the Treasury to stay afloat. He called Watt’s refusal to automatically stop GSE payments to the funds “unjustifiable.” In the letter, the House Financial Services Committee chairman reminded Watt of his earlier statement saying he won’t make payments to the Housing Trust Fund and Capital Magnet Fund if a draw from Treasury is needed. In the wake of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017, the GSEs had to reduce their deferred tax assets by...
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FHFA-OIG Says MIs More Stable, Warrants Continued Monitoring

March 2, 2018
With three mortgage insurers providing about two-thirds of the mortgage insurance coverage to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the Federal Housing Finance Agency Office of Inspector General warned of potential risk down the road. Meanwhile, mortgage insurers seek to confirm their place in housing-finance reform discussions. Although mortgage insurers are more stable today, emerging trends point to a number of potential risks to the GSEs that warrant monitoring. One of the OIG’s concerns is that relying on a small number of counterparties increases the GSEs’ exposure to any individual counterparty. The report noted that although six PMIs are approved to provide coverage for the GSEs as of the end of September 2017, three insurers provided the bulk of their coverage.
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