Low volatility and actions by the Federal Reserve are expected to help maintain demand for MSRs. Supply will also be constrained, with lenders generating profits and large firms retaining their MSRs.
MBA projects that the average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will increase from 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2024 to 6.4% in the first quarter of 2026, and then remain at 6.4% through the year.
“After 10 months of deceleration, October brought a small reacceleration in annual house price growth,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American Data & Analytics.