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Short Takes: An All-Time Low for the 10-Year Coming Soon? / Freefalling: The DJIA / Suffering: GSE Common / Good News, Bad News (Fannie & Freddie) / Strong Results for Arch

August 5, 2019
Paul Muolo

In case you haven’t noticed, the share price of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac common has been in a freefall since early June, down 32.4% each.


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Large Chunk of GSE Business is Outside of ‘Core’ Functions

August 5, 2019
Brandon Ivey

Fannie/Freddie "noncore" loans include conforming jumbos, mortgages with debt-to-income ratios greater than 43%, investor loans/second properties and cash-out refinances...


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What We’re Hearing: FHFA Reviewing a Cap on Cash-out Refis of GSE Loans / Some Interesting Details on CSS (Money Spent) / Berkowitz Offers an Update on His GSE Investment / Ocwen’s Earnings? / LD CTO Departs

August 2, 2019
Paul Muolo

In a new report to its shareholders, Fairholme Capital Management notes the fund it manages owns a 4% position in the preferred shares of Freddie, “which currently trade at less than half of stated liquidation values, implying potential current yields of over 14% per annum.”


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Short Takes: Fannie Mae Warns of a ‘Draw’ From Treasury / Blame CECL / Ginnie Places Restrictions on Cash-out Refis of VA Loans / Blank Rome Hires Industry Veteran Samlin

August 1, 2019
Paul Muolo and Dennis Hollier

Ginnie Mae is turning off the spigot on refinances of high LTV mortgages guaranteed by the VA...


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When it Comes to Agency Servicing Rights, Nonbanks Keep Posting Gains

August 1, 2019
Paul Muolo

PennyMac remained the largest nonbank servicer of agency loans with $325.12 billion on its books at the end of June…


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A Sweet $3.4 Billion Profit for Fannie; Dividend Payment Expected? Indeed

August 1, 2019
Dennis Hollier

Fannie has paid Treasury a stunning $181.4 billion in dividends to the U.S. Treasury compared to cash draws of $119.8 billion...


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Short Takes: Give Up Fannie and Freddie? / Why Would You? / $8 Trillion in UMBS Trades / The ‘Transition’ Tax / On a Tear, UWM Buys an Office Building / CSBS Taps Dallas Fed Economist

July 31, 2019
Paul Muolo and Dennis Hollier

One potential solution to the nation’s huge deficits: a transition tax on trades of stocks and bonds, including MBS...


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Time to Worry About GSE Multifamily Caps? Or Will Private Lenders Come to the Rescue?

July 31, 2019
Dennis Hollier
Lower rates have created a land rush by apartment owners to refinance their multifamily loans, potentially straining the capacity of Fannie and Freddie. However...
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Freddie Earns $1.8B in 2Q19, Anticipates Dividend Will Be Paid to Treasury in September

July 31, 2019
Paul Muolo

There’s been speculation that the Treasury Department this year would suspend the dividend payment to let the two companies build capital, a first step in an administration-backed recapitalization and release plan.


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Short Takes: Watch the (GSE) Language / Betting on a Dividend / What Will Trump Tweet After the FOMC Meets? / In Hedging We Trust / Covius Completes M&A Deal

July 30, 2019
Paul Muolo

You can bet that President Trump will tweet something out about the FOMC decision shortly after it happens…


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