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Short Takes: Potential for Rate Cut Takes a Hit / Radian Closer to Selling Ancillary Units / Pending Home Sales Slump / Risk of a Recession Declines

February 20, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Recent inflation trends along with the strong jobs report for January “suggest the lower likelihood of a rate cut” at the next Federal Open Market Committee meeting, according to Joel Kan, a vice president and deputy chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association.
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Fannie Economists See Interest Rates Staying Higher for Longer

February 19, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Fannie projects that the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage will hold at 6.1% in the second quarter before declining to 6.0% in the third quarter and then remain at that level through the end of 2027.
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VA Getting Closer to Launching Partial Claim Program

February 18, 2026
Emmeline Willey
VA is set to brief members of Congress on the new program and then head toward implementation.
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Short Takes: Union Home Eyes M&A / No Downgrade for Pennymac / Hildene to Issue Large Expanded-Credit MBS With CrossCountry / Bank Turns to MortgageCountry

February 18, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Union Home Mortgage hired a national vice president of mergers and acquisitions.
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Fed to Propose Capital Changes for Banks, Mortgages

February 17, 2026
Brandon Ivey
The Fed will soon issue a proposal to loosen capital requirements for bank holdings of mortgage servicing rights and a proposal loosening capital requirements for mortgages held in portfolio by banks.
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FHA Loss-Mit Waterfall Change Drives Up Delinquencies

February 17, 2026
Emmeline Willey
In October, FHA launched long-awaited updates to its waterfall, instating a trial payment plan that a borrower would have to complete before taking a permanent loss-mitigation option.
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Delinquencies Climb During Fourth Quarter, Led by FHA

February 13, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Marina Walsh, a vice president of industry analysis at the MBA, suggested that the rise in FHA delinquency rates could soon slow.
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Onity’s Earnings Helped by Release of Tax Valuation Allowance

February 13, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Onity posted net income of $127.0 million in the fourth quarter, compared with a $21.0 million profit the previous quarter.
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Pennymac to Acquire Cenlar, Sale Price Could Top $200 Million

February 12, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Some $307.0 billion of Cenlar's subservicing portfolio is in the process of leaving Cenlar or has provisions allowing a move to a different subservicer if Cenlar is sold.
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FHFA, Ginnie to Increase Oversight of Nonbank Servicers

February 11, 2026
Brandon Ivey
The agencies agreed to implement four recommendations from the Government Accountability Office.
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