Analysts suggest that the incentives in the proposals to retain mortgage originations are stronger than the incentives for banks to increase their deliveries into MBS.
FICO’s profile and the elevated stock price/earnings ratio for the company relative to the S&P 500 average PE ratio lead CHLA to project that there will be “another round of major price hikes” for credit scores this fall.
A provision in the proposal would remove the requirement for banks to deduct mortgage servicing rights that reach a certain cap from common equity tier one capital and replace it with a 250% risk weighting on the assets, which might not be low enough to incentivize banks to increase their MSR holdings.
"While the 2026 spring homebuying season may spark some momentum, the most likely outcome is modest price growth as buyers and sellers remain at a standoff," said Thom Malone, principal economist at Cotality.