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Former AIG Restructuring Chief: Let Fannie and Freddie Rebuild Capital

June 2, 2014
Paul Muolo
Former Treasury official Jim Millstein argues that taxpayers “stand to make an enormous profit” if the two are allowed to recapitalize, restructure and eventually are sold to “back to private investors.”
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Short Takes: Why is PHH’s Trading Value So Low? / CEOs of Fannie and Freddie May Have Some Explaining to Do / GSE Delinquency Rates Continue to Fall / A ‘Happy Anniversary’ for the GSEs? / JPM: We Didn’t Do Anything Wrong

June 2, 2014
Paul Muolo
If you take away all the one-time gains at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two are barely profitable. Right?
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To Get Out of Conservatorship, the GSEs Would Need to Raise $265 Billion

May 30, 2014
Charles Wisniowski
In order for the GSEs to exit conservatorship with the full faith and credit of the U.S., they would have to pay the Treasury a fee equal to the value of the government’s backing under the terms of their preferred stock purchase agreements.
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Want to use MBS to Hedge Your Business? Not so Fast…

May 30, 2014
John Bancroft
Fannie Mae has traditionally reserved the right to invoke margin calls if it needs to.
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RBS Securities Cutting Back on MBS Trading Business, Other Foreign Banks May Follow Suit

May 30, 2014
RBS Securities – which is 64 percent owned by the government of the United Kingdom – is shaking up its mortgage trading operation in the U.S., cutting staff and taking a close look at its future in an extremely tough American mortgage market. Officials at the bank’s MBS headquarters in Stamford, CT, did not return telephone calls about the matter, but several lenders and Wall Street executives confirmed that cutbacks have been made at the company over the past week or so. Frank Skibo, a managing director for RBS in Connecticut, and Ara Balabanian, a director in the group, also could not be reached...
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GSEs and Their Regulator Still Don’t Have a Handle On How Long CSP Will Take, or What It Will Cost

May 30, 2014
Building the new common securitization platform for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac may be the easy part. Plugging in the two government-sponsored enterprises is another story. Through the end of last year, the two GSEs had spent about $65 million to build the CSP, according to a report by the Inspector General of the Federal Housing Finance Agency. The IG estimated that Fannie and Freddie this year are spending about $6 million a month to continue that work. In fact, neither the GSEs nor the FHFA have yet come up...
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Prospects for Subprime Auto ABS Look Good, As Investors Move Down the Waterfall for Yield

May 30, 2014
U.S. auto ABS may have hit a few potholes in recent months, but seasonal factors and investors’ hunger for greater returns is strengthening the sector, especially for subprime deals, according to Wall Street analysts. “Subprime auto ABS continue to benefit from the hunt for yield,” said Elen Callahan and Kayvan Darouian, analysts with Deutsche Bank, in a recent research report. Many deals are oversubscribed and are often upsized, they added. “With spread differentials of up to 600 basis points, depending on issuer and tranche, investors who are comfortable with the asset class’s recent performance are moving from the top of the credit structure, down to the first-loss piece, to pick up yield.” Increased demand for subprime auto ABS subordinate bonds is...
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What We’re Hearing: Why The ‘Lawsky Effect’ May Hammer NSM, OCN, WAC / $61 Billion in MSRs Still Up Grabs? / 40 Percent of Lenders May Disappear? / LenderLive Will Buy Jumbos / San Antonio Lenders Ask: Julian Who?

May 30, 2014
Paul Muolo
A new poll on the Inside Mortgage Finance website tells the story: Just 24 percent of respondents want Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac taken out to the Jersey Meadowlands by Luca Brasi. (Leave the gun, take the cannolis.)
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FHFA Expected to Manage GSE Change as Legislation Stalls

May 30, 2014
With housing finance reform legislation effectively stalled just short of a Senate floor vote, the industry is beginning to shift its expectant gaze to the Federal Housing Finance Agency to take the initiative as the debate moves toward GSE preservation. Although the reform bill, S. 1217, by Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, cleared the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee earlier this month, its less than impressive 13-9 vote margin all but ensures that Senate leadership will ignore the measure’s bid for a floor vote through the remainder of the 113th Congress.
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Experts: GSE Shareholder Lawsuits Will Take Years, Long Odds to Win

May 30, 2014
Expect it to take years for the courts to resolve lawsuits filed by private investors in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac stock, with the odds heavily stacked in the government’s favor, note industry observers. Speaking during a recent Bloomberg Industries webinar on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac litigation, Brooklyn Law School Professor David Reiss noted it could take the courts up to a year simply to resolve the introductory motions.
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