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Analysts See Slower Recovery of CMBS Market in 2012 Due to Global Debt Concerns, Credit Volatility

February 17, 2012
Analysts covering the commercial mortgage-backed securities market are cautiously optimistic, predicting continued volume growth and better performance of CMBS in 2012, although at a much slower pace compared to the past two years. CMBS investors will tend to be cautious this year because of continuing economic uncertainty worldwide, particularly the European debt crisis, and a tougher debt market that may reduce liquidity, analysts said. The CMBS market has not yet fully recovered from its almost total collapse in 2009 as a result of the financial crisis. Although recovery began in 2010, issuance remains...
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Industry Groups Rally Against Additional GSE G-Fee Hike As Final Details of Tax Cut Deal Remain Uncertain

February 17, 2012
Industry trade groups this week stepped up their efforts to block the imposition of additional fees on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS as a way for the government to pay for an extension of the payroll tax holiday and unemployment benefits. Late this week, the House-Senate conference committee announced it reached an agreement on a $150 billion extension through the end of 2012, although final details of the deal were not yet finalized as Inside MBS & ABS went to press. Lawmakers had been considering raising $4 billion of new revenue from increased guarantee fees from the two government-sponsored...
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Compare Ratio Change May Hike Ginnie Prepays

February 17, 2012
Excluding streamlined FHA refinancing from the “Compare Ratio” loan review process to facilitate refinancing of underwater non-agency mortgages, as proposed by the Obama administration, would make sense. At the margin, however, the proposal would increase Ginnie Mae prepayment speeds on higher-coupon borrowers, analysts cautioned. The proposal is part of a broader administration plan for housing recovery, which calls on Congress to provide non-agency borrowers with access to low-cost refinancing through FHA, and fully streamlined refinancing for borrowers with Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac loans. Underwater borrowers who opt for streamlined refinancing in either agency or non-agency programs would have ... [one data chart]
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Mortgage Brokers Carry Significant Portion Of Increased Origination Volume in Late 2011

February 16, 2012
Loan production was up sharply in the wholesale mortgage business late last year, despite the high-profile retreat from the sector by some major lenders. A new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis reveals that wholesale production jumped 22.4 percent from the third to the fourth quarter of last year, posting a bigger gain than the 17.0 percent increase in retail originations. While the broker channel saw the biggest increase – a hefty 48.5 percent jump that raised its market share back to double digits – the correspondent business also posted a solid 14.9 percent gain in volume. Despite the fourth...
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Fearful of Winning, City of St. Paul Drops Disparate Impact Case from SCOTUS Docket

February 16, 2012
In an unusual legal development, the City of St. Paul, MN, late last week suddenly removed its challenge in a case before the Supreme Court of the United States that could have produced a definitive ruling on the disparate impact theory of lending discrimination under the Fair Housing Act. What’s unusual in Magner v. Gallagher is that the city believes it would have prevailed in the nation’s highest court – but opted to ask for dismissal because city leaders came to the conclusion that a victory could substantially undermine important civil rights enforcement in housing throughout the nation. The city expects to...
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House Democrats Dispute FHFA Study That Principal Reduction Would Cost $100 Billion, Demand Answers

February 16, 2012
The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s own data prove that reducing the principal owed on underwater Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans would actually save taxpayers money, contrary to the agency’s position that writedowns are against taxpayer interests, according to House Democrats. In a letter last week to FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, Reps. Elijah Cummings, D-MD, and John Tierney, D-MA, labeled the agency’s report justifying its policy against principal reduction as “seriously deficient and misleading.” “We understand that the FHFA is not part of the Obama administration, and that you do not take...
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Supervision and Enforcement Expenditures To Dominate CFPB Budget This Year and Next

February 16, 2012
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is on course to spend nearly half a billion dollars in 2013, half of which is projected to be devoted to supervision and enforcement, according to the budget proposal released by the Obama administration this week. The CFPB breaks down its expenditures into three categories, the largest of which is devoted to supervision, enforcement, fair lending and equal opportunity (SEFLEO), with projected funding to exceed the other two categories combined. After spending approximately $60 million in 2011, the SEFLEO bucket is budgeted at $214 million for 2012 and $261...
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Congress Votes to Block GSE Bonuses

February 10, 2012
The already formidable task of replacing the outgoing CEOs at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac got a little harder this week following swift congressional action to cut compensation levels at the GSEs down to size.Both the House this week and the Senate have approved by overwhelming margins the Stop Trading on Congressional Knowledge Act of 2012, which would bar members of Congress and congressional staff from using non-public, inside information for private gain.While the House version of the STOCK Act is weaker than the Senate’s, both versions retained an amendment sponsored by Sens. John McCain, R-AZ and Jay Rockefeller, D-WV, to prohibit Fannie and Freddie executives from receiving multi-million dollar bonuses while the GSEs remain in federal conservatorship.
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FHLB Members Pan Proposed CRA Verify Rule

February 10, 2012
A proposed rule by the Federal Housing Finance Agency to require Federal Home Loan Banks to verify a member’s Community Reinvestment Act (CRA) rating, as well as to be responsible for overseeing members’ compliance with the FHFA’s first-time homebuyers standards, would be an unnecessary and unwelcome change, according to public commenters.Issued in November, the proposal would replace the current practice in which members submit to the Finance Agency the community support statement.Instead, FHLBanks would review a member’s CRA rating using publicly-available information from the Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council or from the member’s federal banking regulator.
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House GOP Bill Would Put GSEs on Federal Budget

February 10, 2012
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s debt issuance would be accounted for in the calculation of the federal debt under legislation passed by House Republicans this week.Members approved H.R. 3581, the Budget and Accounting Transparency Act of 2012, sponsored by Rep. Scott Garrett, R-NJ, by a 239 to 181 vote. Garrett’s bill is part of a comprehensive package of 10 reform bills House GOP members are pushing to enforce spending controls and oversight of federal spending.“Off-budget liabilities such as government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac threaten any progress we make towards deficit and debt reduction,” said Garrett, who is vice chairman of the Budget Committee, as well as chairman of the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government-Sponsored Enterprises.
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