A white paper circulated last week at the annual meeting of the American Economic Association asserted, somewhat counter-intuitively, that repealing the home-mortgage interest deduction and property-tax reductions would result in lower home prices but higher rates of homeownership. The paper, prepared by Kamila Sommer, an economist with the Federal Reserve Board, and Paul Sullivan, an economist at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, studied the impact of reducing housing tax expenditures on equilibrium ...

The tendency of borrowers with low credit scores to choose adjustable-rate mortgages over fixed-rate loans is more about economic considerations rather than a lack of financial sophistication, according to a study by Federal Reserve researchers. In the study, Fred Furlong, David Lang and Yelena Takhtamanova looked at factors that influenced lower-credit borrowers to select ARMs over fixed-rate mortgages during the housing boom in early 2000. In general, the research team observed ...

After years of operating in an environment with exceptionally low interest rates, federal regulators are warning lenders of risks as interest rates are expected to rise in 2014. Regulators are particularly concerned about lenders’ exposure to longer-term assets such as mortgages and agency mortgage-backed securities. “The recent increase in long-term interest rates underscores the need to understand and quantify bank vulnerability to rising interest rates,” the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency ...

Originations held in bank portfolios couldn't outpace portfolio runoff, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The dollar volume of first liens in bank and thrift portfolios declined by 0.6 percent in the third quarter of 2013 compared with the previous quarter. Total residential mortgages outstanding increased by a scant 0.1 percent during that time, the first quarterly increase in total mortgages outstanding since early 2008. While banks ... [Includes one data chart]

Recent announcements of revised loan-level price adjustments for the government-sponsored enterprises and risk-based pricing are fueling fears of FHA resurgence in the market. Consistent with the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s stated intent to raise the GSE guaranty fees by about 11 basis points, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac released revised loan-level price adjustments (LLPAs) on Dec. 16. The upfront fee hike takes mortgage rates for affected borrowers close to FHA pricing levels, according to industry analysts.

The Department of Housing and Urban Development is seeking comment on a policy change that would reduce the FHA’s credit-score threshold from 620 to 580 to allow more manually underwritten borrowers to use compensating factors that would help them qualify for an FHA-insured mortgage loan. The change would strengthen manual underwriting and reduce FHA’s underwriting losses, resulting in more revenue per loan for FHA, HUD said. “The FHA can control costs through risk management practices,” the agency explained in a notice of rulemaking. “The lower costs are a gain to FHA.”

The Department of Housing and Urban Development this month expects to issue a final rule that would eliminate the process of requesting alternative FHA maximum loan limits due to improved access to, and availability of, home sales data. With the availability of comprehensive national databases of home sales transactions and continuing data-collection efforts, the regulations governing requests for alternative maximum mortgage limits have become outdated and unnecessary, the agency said.

The Department of Housing and Urban Development warned of tougher enforcement against servicers who do not make full use of HUD’s loss mitigation tools, as it announced the implementation of a newly revised tiered servicer ranking system. The new system, Tiered Ranking System II, features a new scoring mechanism that would help HUD determine which lenders get higher reimbursement rates on claim expenses based on their servicing performance.

Approximately 48 percent of FHA loans that underwent post-endorsement review by the FHA in the third quarter of 2013 received an “unacceptable” rating – a commonly high percentage of deficient FHA-insured loans that lenders could lower through mitigation. The FHA reviewed 6,692 FHA-insured loans between July 1 and Sept. 30, 70 percent of which were home-purchase loans, 25 percent streamline refinancings, and 5 percent rate and term refis. Of the total loans analyzed, 36 percent had certain deficiencies, 19 percent showed early payment default (EPD), and only 16 percent met FHA underwriting standards, according to the agency’s latest report on loan-file review findings.

FHA and VA loans backing Ginnie Mae pools in 2013 showed an average mid-range FICO score of 693, lower debt-to-income ratio and an average loan size of $187,268, confirming strict underwriting in both government programs, according to an Inside FHA Lending analysis of Ginnie Mae loan-level disclosures. Issuers securitized $370.4 billion of mortgages with first payment date in 2013 through November. Loan characteristics exclude loans with no information reported.