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Inside Mortgage Trends
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2015 Origination Forecast: Cloudy with a Hint of Optimism

November 3, 2014
John Bancroft
If housing markets are stronger than expected and rates stay low enough, originations could hit $1.421 trillion next year.
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Short Takes: Mortgage Brokers Putting All Their Eggs In One Basket? / Are Cash-Out Refis Making a Comeback? / Piggy-back Loans Too? / Holy Ellie /MI Update

November 3, 2014
George Brooks and Paul Muolo
What? Are piggy-back mortgages making a comeback?
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Industry Economists Have Mixed Views On Loan Origination Volume in 2015

October 31, 2014
Mortgage industry economists agreed that 2014 loan origination volume would be down significantly from 2013, tapering off to another drop in new business in 2015. With a surprising increase in production during the third quarter and an early October bond market rally, the outlook for next year is less clear. Mike Fratantoni, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, last week predicted that mortgage originations would grow by 7.4 percent next year ... [Includes one data chart]
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Mortgage-Banking Income Up at Regional Banks

October 31, 2014
Regional banks generally reported improvements to mortgage-banking income in the third quarter of 2014, according to an analysis by Inside Mortgage Trends. Third-quarter mortgage-banking income for a group of 17 regional banks rose 10.7 percent from the previous quarter and was up 12.5 percent from the third quarter of 2013, when some of the lenders reported record origination volumes. Results were mixed among the group. Flagstar Bank reported $58.40 million in mortgage-banking income ...
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Quicken: Borrowers Underestimating Home Values

October 31, 2014
Homes are worth more than borrowers currently estimate, according to new indices from Quicken Loans. Last week, Quicken published a home value index based on appraisal data and a home-price perception index based on loan applicants’ estimated values. “Quicken Loans records refinancing homeowners’ estimate of the value of their home at time of application as well as the agreed upon purchase price of homebuyers and home sellers,” the lender said. “The company then ...
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Guaranteed Rate Closer to All-Digital Mortgage

October 31, 2014
Chicago-based Guaranteed Rate claims to have significantly advanced towards the world’s first fully digital mortgage with Transfersafe, its latest cloud-based technology service for homebuyers. “Transfersafe is the next major step in our evolution of the mortgage process,” said Victor Ciardelli, company president and CEO. “We’ve already brought our online loan application to the market, which has funded more than $3 billion in loans to date.” Transfersafe facilitates instant ...
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EverBank’s Mortgage Strategy Clicking in 2014

October 31, 2014
EverBank has relied on its correspondent jumbo business to help prop up loan origination volume in 2014 at a time when agency production figures have fallen way off 2013 levels. In fact, during the third quarter of 2014, 52 percent of the company’s $2.30 billion of new mortgage lending were jumbos. Jumbo production – most of it coming through EverBank’s correspondent program – was up 55 percent from the third quarter of 2013, when it accounted for 28 percent of the bank’s total mortgage originations ...
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Plenty of Firms Are Hiring Loan Officers

October 31, 2014
Residential production volume may not be much better next year, but that isn’t stopping certain growth-minded lenders from hiring loan officers. According to a survey conducted by affiliated newsletter Inside Mortgage Finance, 71 percent of mortgage companies plan to hire LOs – in varying degrees – over the next six months. Just 29 percent of respondents said they plan to cut staff. While a number of large commercial banks have pulled back from the mortgage industry in different ways ...
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More Borrowers Climbing Out of Negative Equity

October 31, 2014
The number of residential properties that are seriously underwater declined to 8.1 million in the third quarter of 2014 from 9.1 million in the first quarter, according to a new report from RealtyTrac. Another 8.5 million properties were on the verge of resurfacing. Dan Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac, said it is not yet time to celebrate. He said 8.1 million underwater properties still represent 15 percent of all mortgaged properties with an estimated $1.4 trillion in negative equity ...
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Credit Boxes Changing Very Little

October 31, 2014
Top mortgage sellers to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac appear to be focusing even more on lower-risk mortgages, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of loan-level mortgage-backed securities data. Some 62.9 percent of loans delivered in the third quarter had credit scores of 740 or above, up from 61.9 percent in the second quarter and 60.5 percent in the first three months of the year. The data exclude mortgages with loan-to-value ratios exceeding ... [Includes one data chart]
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