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Inside Mortgage Trends
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Outlook 2015: The CFPB Will Face the (GOP) Music; Dodd-Frank Tweaks?

December 23, 2014
Thomas Ressler
Republicans also will try to subject the CFPB’s budget to the congressional appropriations process.
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Final Jumbo MBS Tally for 2015 Likely Will Top $9 Billion

December 23, 2014
Brandon Ivey
Industry observers believe underwriting standards on mortgages in jumbo MBS will continue to loosen, which might weaken investor confidence.
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Redfin: Fewer Bidding Wars for Homes in 2014

December 23, 2014
Sherry Muolo
Redfin noted that fewer homes sold in under two weeks this year.
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Interest-Only Originations Are Down but Not Entirely Out

December 22, 2014
Brandon Ivey
PHH Mortgage was the top-ranked IO lender, with $9.51 billion in such originations through three quarters in 2014.
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Single-Family Rental Investors Sitting on Large Gains: RealtyTrac

December 22, 2014
Sherry Muolo
The nascent single family rental industry is at a crossroads in terms of future growth and long-term staying power...
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In a Stalled MBS Market, Most of the Heavy Hitters Increased Their Holdings in 3Q14

December 19, 2014
The outstanding supply of agency single-family MBS continued to grow at a subdued pace during the third quarter of 2014, and the biggest investor classes did most of the heavy lifting funding the market, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. On the supply side, there were $5.632 trillion of single-family MBS guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae outstanding at the end of September. That was up just 0.4 percent from the previous quarter but had enough growth rings to show a 1.2 percent gain from a year ago. As has been the case for the past few years, the Ginnie MBS market grew...[Includes two data chart]
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REITs that Focused on Residential MBS See Promise in Commercial MBS Market

December 19, 2014
Two real estate investment trusts that have focused their efforts on residential MBS recently announced plans to enter the commercial MBS market. The moves come as issuance of residential MBS has been subdued since the financial crisis while issuance of commercial MBS activity has been soaring in recent years. PennyMac Financial Services announced this month that it formed PennyMac Commercial Real Estate Finance. The business will focus on loans that finance multifamily and other commercial real estate with a typical value of under $10 million. PennyMac said it plans for its REIT, PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust, to acquire and securitize the commercial mortgages. “The opportunity in this market is...
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Banks Increase Holdings of First Liens

December 19, 2014
Bank and thrift holdings of first-lien mortgages increased in the third quarter of 2014 compared with the third quarter of 2013, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Banks and thrifts held $1.76 trillion in first liens as of the end of the third quarter of 2014, up 0.4 percent compared with the same period last year. The growth was driven by jumbo mortgages. On a quarterly basis, portfolio runoff and loan sales slightly outpaced ... [Includes one data chart]
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2015 Outlook: Downward Trend Continues

December 19, 2014
FHA originations are expected to decline modestly in 2015 unless the agency gives in to industry pressure to lower mortgage insurance premiums and lenders ease up on their overlays, according to analysts. Analysts anticipate no meaningful decline in FHA market share next year but do expect some drop as private mortgage insurance become more competitive, especially among borrowers with 720+ FICO scores. Overall, analysts expect 2015 to be slightly better than 2014 because of increased purchase-mortgage lending, which is partly offset by lower refinance activity. Mortgage volumes should climb to $1.18 trillion in 2015, some say. At Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, analysts Bose George and Chas Tyson predict private MIs will take more market share from the FHA in 2015. They do not expect meaningful policy changes from the FHA this year. For example, FHA has given ...
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Congress Shoots Down HAWK, Rejects FHA Fee

December 19, 2014
Congress denied funding for an enhanced FHA housing counseling initiative for first-time homebuyers and rejected a request for authority to collect a new FHA fee to enhance quality-assurance reviews. President Obama this week signed the FY 2015 Consolidated and Further Continuing Appropriations Act, a comprehensive package of 11 funding bills for federal agencies. The bill does not include the provisions the FHA had sought to toughen enforcement and help lower costs for first-home purchases. The House passed the $1.1 trillion omnibus spending bill, H.R. 83, by a vote of 219-to-206 on Dec. 11, narrowly avoiding a government shutdown. The Senate approved the bill on Dec. 13. The bill allocates $47 million to the Department of Housing and Urban Development’s housing counseling program and $50 million for foreclosure mitigation counseling. It also provides $400 billion in ...
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