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Inside Mortgage Trends
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Homebuyers Remain Optimistic

January 13, 2017
While mortgage interest rates remain at historic lows, an increase of even one percentage point is not going to have a dramatic effect on affordability and any negative homebuyer response to rising rates is likely to be short-lived, according to a new Redfin survey. Even if mortgage rates climb to 5 percent, homebuyers would lower their expectations and shop for less expensive homes, said 49 percent of the 827 Redfin real estate agents who responded to the survey. Redfin conducted ...
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Black Knight Developing Mortgage Credit Score

January 13, 2017
Black Knight Financial Services is developing a mortgage-specific credit score that could be more useful for lenders than traditional credit scores. It’s not clear how much traction the score will gain, considering that Fair Isaac’s FICO score remains the dominant metric for assessing the creditworthiness of mortgage borrowers. Wesley Winter, a senior modeler at Black Knight, said a traditional credit score may not be the best predictor of mortgage default. “The FICO score is trying to ...
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VA Continues Gaining Market Share

January 13, 2017
Mortgages guaranteed by the Department of Veterans Affairs accounted for 29.4 percent of insured home loans securitized in the agency mortgage-backed securities market in the fourth quarter of 2016, a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis reveals. That was up from a 27.2 percent share for the VA during the third quarter. The home-loan guaranty program has become a refinance dynamo, accounting for a whopping 44.6 percent of insured refi loans ... [Includes one data chart]
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Banks and Nonbanks Expected to Take Handsome MSR Mark-ups for 4Q16

January 12, 2017
Paul Muolo
“No matter what, it’s an enormous move,” said Mark Garland, president of MountainView Servicing Group, Denver.
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FHFA to Step Up Pressure on Fannie and Freddie to Manage Nonbank Servicer Risks

January 12, 2017
Carisa Chappell
The new FHFA IG report is heavily redacted…
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Banks and Nonbanks Expected to Make Handsome MSR Mark-ups for 4Q16. But What Does it Mean for Sales?

January 12, 2017
Banks and nonbanks alike are expected to unveil sizable mark-ups on the asset value of their mortgage servicing rights for the fourth quarter, with the general consensus being that increases will range from 20 to 25 basis points. One servicing advisor, requesting his name not be used, said he has some clients that will book gains of 30 to 35 bps, though he indicated this won’t be the norm. “In general, it’s going to be a huge move,” he said. This source made...
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Short Takes: HUD Nominee Carson Says he will ‘Review ‘the MIP Cut / Why Banks Avoid the FHA Program / HUD’s Budget: $45 Billion / Investor Cuts Stake in Annaly / CPR&T Downgrades Ocwen

January 12, 2017
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
CPR&T predicted that the asset value of Ocwen’s mortgage servicing portfolio likely won’t benefit much from the recent spike in interest rates…
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Mortgage Hiring Accelerates in November. Can it Last?

January 10, 2017
Paul Muolo
Some industry executives have been predicting a correction in mortgage hiring in the coming months, with large layoffs anticipated at shops that have focused too strongly on refinancings.
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Short Takes: Gain-on-Sale Let-down? / About Those MSR ‘Marks’... / Ocwen Attorney Joins Philly Law Firm / Go with the ‘Waterfall’ / Vegas-Based Lender Hires Sales Chief

January 10, 2017
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
As gain-on-sale margins decline, MSR marks will rise...
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The Love Affair Continues: First-Lien Holdings at Banks and Thrifts Up Again in 3Q16

January 10, 2017
Brandon Ivey
Third-ranked Bank of America had the slowest growth among the three banks, with a $189.1 billion portfolio as of the end of the third quarter…
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