Moody’s Investors Service has come up with a monitoring approach to evaluating “tail risk” in non-agency MBS that pay scheduled principal and prepayments to the securities on a pro-rata basis and assessing the adequacy of the credit enhancement available to the rated securities. Tail risk is what might be described as the “end of life” risk of a disproportionately large loss (based on current balance of the pool) on the underlying pool at the end of a transaction’s term when few loans remain in the pool and credit enhancements, although high in percentage terms, may be very low in dollar terms. The proposed change in approach at Moody’s will mostly affect...

Nationwide, mortgage originations fell by 4.8 percent during the first quarter of 2013, but a lot of that decline took place at the industry’s biggest lender, Wells Fargo, according to a new market analysis and ranking by Inside Mortgage Finance. Mortgage originations totaled an estimated $500.0 billion during the first three months of the year, down from $525.0 billion during the fourth quarter of 2012. It still ranked as the fourth strongest quarter in new loan production since the mortgage market tanked back in 2008, and originations in early 2013 were up 19.0 percent from the same period last year. But most of the indicators are...[Includes two data charts]

“We need the light hand of government to set standards and systems for the market to move forward and private capital to return,” said Chris Katopis, executive director of the Association of Mortgage Investors, in testifying at a hearing this week in the House Financial Services Committee. While members of the committee appear to be nowhere near agreement on how to resolve the ongoing conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac – or how they might be replaced – lawmakers, non-agency MBS issuers and investors all agreed on the need for new standards to increase non-agency MBS activity. The AMI called...

“Private capital out there, here we come,” Edward DeMarco, acting director of the Federal Housing Finance Agency, said this week. He was talking about pending risk-sharing pilot transactions between the government-sponsored enterprises and the non-agency market. The FHFA set a goal for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to each issue at least $30.0 billion in risk-sharing transactions this year. Those efforts were delayed in 2012 due to regulatory concerns, but DeMarco said the GSEs will soon issue such deals ...

The Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hasn’t marked up a bill in more than a year, but Democrats and Republicans on the panel pushed this week to begin the process of reforming the government-sponsored enterprises. “I think the time is right to address this issue and move it forward,” Sen. Jon Tester, D-MT, said this week at a hearing by the committee. “I think there are folks on both sides of the aisle that want to quit playing with this like a political football and ...

Bank of America agreed this week to pay $500 million to settle lawsuits from investors in non-agency mortgage-backed securities issued by Countrywide Financial in 2005 through 2007. If it receives judicial approval, the settlement on about $15.0 billion in non-agency MBS will be the largest-ever non-agency MBS class-action recovery. “After five years of hard-fought litigation, this record-breaking recovery is a tremendous result for MBS investors misled by Countrywide and ...

Non-agency jumbo mortgage-backed securities issued by Redwood Trust in 2010 and 2011 have been subject to scrutiny by the Securities and Exchange Commission in recent months. The SEC looked into Regulation AB compliance issues on the deals, largely seeking increased disclosures. The SEC’s inquiries generally related to deal participants other than Redwood. And in some cases, the SEC sought disclosures related to actions beyond the firms’ participation in non-agency MBS issuance ...

“The policy mix is very much weighted on the side of not lending, or at least not underwriting anything but a prime loan,” according to Chris Whalen, an executive vice president and managing director at Carrington Investment Services. Whalen and others spoke last week at a panel hosted by the American Enterprise Institute. The industry analysts said actions by federal regulators are limiting issuance of non-agency mortgage-backed securities. Tom Zimmerman, a managing director at UBS, said ...

The Obama administration’s 2014 budget proposal calls for a Home Affordable Refinance Program for non-agency borrowers, although prospects for getting legislation through Congress remain slim. The proposed budget included a small section entitled “finish the task on universal refinancing for responsible homeowners.” The section noted that the Obama administration worked with the government-sponsored enterprises in 2012 to double the number of HARP refinances for GSE borrowers with negative equity ...

A former managing director and global head of structured credit in the investment banking division of Credit Suisse Group pled guilty last week to a scheme to hide losses on non-agency mortgage-backed securities. Kareem Serageldin faces a maximum sentence of five years in prison and a maximum fine of the greater of $250,000 or twice the gross gain or loss from the offense. The Department of Justice had charged Serageldin with fraudulently inflating the prices of non-agency MBS and ... [Includes four briefs]