Thanks to the spread of the coronavirus, markets became unglued this week as stock prices plummeted. Meanwhile, Treasury yields fell while mortgage rates actually increased. Confused? Welcome to the club.
Industry-wide holdings of residential MBS were steady in the fourth quarter, but several REITs shifted their focus to non-agency MBS and other investments. (Includes data chart.)
Since the financial crisis, the Fed’s main policy tool has been to lower interest rates by purchasing Treasuries and agency MBS. However, with rates on these securities at record lows, this strategy may no longer work.
Freddie Mac saw a much bigger decline in monthly volume than Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae. February issuance suggests a tapering in refinance demand. (Includes two data charts.)
Rates have fallen to historic lows, with MBS values rising. However, as the weekend approached uncertainty prevailed. The wild card: prepayment speeds.