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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » Agency MBS

Agency MBS
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Analysts Suggest Tight Underwriting Prevented 1.2 Million Mortgages in 2014, Lenders Point to Buyback Uncertainty

February 4, 2016
If lenders used the seemingly sensible underwriting standards that were in place in 2001, some 1.2 million more mortgages would have been originated in 2014, according to estimates by the Urban Institute’s Housing Finance Policy Center. Laurie Goodman, director of the HFPC, said lenders have “plenty of room to safely ease credit.” An underwriting index from the HFPC suggests that originators are accepting little risk in terms of borrower or loan characteristics, hindering a recovery in the mortgage market and the broader economy. Lenders note...
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Moody’s Upgrades MGIC, Radian to Investment Grade; NAIC’s Proposed Capital Rules Create Uncertainty

February 4, 2016
For the first time since October 2008, Moody’s Investors Service upgraded two top private mortgage insurance companies to investment grade due to strong performance of new insurance written, cost savings and fewer losses. However, risk factors, including proposed capital regulations from the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, could adversely impact the ratings. Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corp. and Radian Guaranty now have Baa3 ratings from Moody’s, although other rating servicers appear disinclined to follow. Both MIs continue to be rated below investment grade by Standard & Poor’s. The improved ratings come...
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Securitization of Income-Property Mortgages Reached Post-Crash High in 2015 Thanks to Multifamily Boom

January 29, 2016
The surging multifamily housing market in the U.S. was a major factor in the huge increase in commercial MBS issuance last year, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. A total of $206.66 billion of income-property mortgages were securitized during 2015, a 22.6 percent increase from the previous year. It was the strongest annual output of commercial MBS since 2007, the year before the wheels fell off the non-agency CMBS market. New issuance rebounded...[Includes one data table]
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Conduit CMBS Leverage Rising, Moody’s Finds, CRE Collateral Keeps Improving, S&P Says

January 29, 2016
The credit quality of U.S. conduit/fusion commercial MBS kept degrading during the fourth quarter of 2015, while conduit loan leverage is rising and is expected to continue to do so, according to a new report from Moody’s Investors Service. Conduit loan leverage as measured by the Moody’s Loan to Value (MLTV) ratio ticked upward from 118.2 percent in the third quarter last year to 118.9 percent in the fourth quarter. This is the third time in which that metric has topped the pre-crisis peak level of 117.5 percent, the ratings service said. Further, the conduit loan MLTV rose...
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First Clean-Up Calls Completed on Post-Crisis Jumbo MBS Suggest Little Risk for Investors

January 29, 2016
Clean-up calls were recently completed on three jumbo MBS issued by Redwood Trust in 2010 and 2011, marking the first such actions on post-crisis jumbo MBS. While MBS investors can take some losses when clean-up calls are completed, analysts suggest that’s not currently much of a concern for post-crisis jumbo MBS. Holders of clean-up call rights, typically servicers, have an option to purchase the remaining loans in an MBS when the outstanding balance of the deal falls below a certain threshold. Redwood completed...
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Although Average Trading Volume of MBS Improved in 2015, December Was a Dud

January 29, 2016
For full-year 2015, the average daily trading volume for agency MBS improved by 9.2 percent from the year prior to $194.4 billion, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. Although that might seem like something to crow about, there’s some bad news in the numbers: December marked the worst reading of the year with an average daily trading volume of just $149.2 billion. No other month comes close, not even November at $180.2 billion. Over the past 10 years, 2015 will go down...
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Bank Holdings of Non-Agency MBS Fall

January 29, 2016
The volume of non-agency mortgage-backed securities held by banks and thrifts has declined much more quickly than the amount of total non-agency MBS outstanding. Banks and thrifts held a total of $96.76 billion in non-agency MBS as of the end of the third quarter of 2015, down 28.4 percent compared with the end of the third quarter of 2014, according to a new analysis and ranking from the Inside Mortgage Finance Bank Mortgage Database. In that span ... [Includes one data chart]
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News Briefs

January 29, 2016
A&D Mortgage recently started offering non-qualified mortgages on a wholesale basis via mortgage brokers. The lender, whose originations are focused in southern Florida, noted that its underwriting for the loans includes “limited income and asset documentation” including options for stated income and stated assets. A&D offers non-QMs aimed at investors and foreign nationals. The lender said the loans are typically for non-owner-occupied ... [Includes four briefs]
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A Secondary Market Develops for ‘Scratch & Dent’ TRID Loans; Even PIMCO is Eyeing the Sector

January 28, 2016
With nonbanks fearing they could be stuck with error-laden mortgages that violate the integrated disclosure rule, a secondary market has developed for this new breed of “scratch and dent” loans, according to interviews conducted by Inside Mortgage Finance. One investor, requesting his firm’s name not be identified, said his shop bought such a mortgage for 90 cents on the dollar. Participants in the market – including investors and traders – concede...
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Investor Flight to Safety Driving Rates Lower, Extending Support to the Mortgage Market

January 28, 2016
The turmoil in financial markets around the world is fueling a flight to safety on the part of investors into U.S. dollar-denominated assets, helping to keep mortgage rates in the U.S. housing market lower than they otherwise would be. But how long that will continue is anyone’s guess. “The recent volatility in worldwide financial markets caused Treasury rates to decline, so we’ve seen that being picked up in mortgage rates,” Danielle Hale, managing director of housing statistics for the National Association of Realtors, told Inside Mortgage Finance. Mike Fratantoni, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association, said...
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