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February Report for Private-Label MBS Promising as Performance Improves, Re-Performing Loans Increase

March 16, 2012
The non-agency MBS market showed some spark as always-performing loans continued to improve in February and more nonperforming loans moved to the re-performing bucket, according to Amherst Securities Group’s latest analysis of the mortgage market. In its February report, Amherst said first-time defaults from the always-performing bucket dropped to 0.75 percent during the month from 0.82 percent in January. In dollar terms, new defaults constituted $4.0 billion, down from $4.4 billion the previous month, the firm reported. On a year-over-year basis, always-performing loans were down to $525.6 billion from...
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Despite Mixed Fourth Quarter Earnings, GSEs Cite Potential of New Book to Outgrow Legacy Losses

March 16, 2012
More than half of the government-sponsored enterprises’ single-family guarantee book of business during the fourth quarter of 2011 consisted of loans it had purchased or guaranteed since the start of 2009, which has prompted Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to declare the companies’ efforts to reduce the credit losses on their legacy books of business a success so far. Freddie reported $619 million in net income during the fourth quarter, compared to a net loss of $4.4 billion during the third quarter. For the full year, the GSE reported a net loss of $5.3 billion compared to a net loss of...(Includes one data chart)
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Investors Worry About Their MBS Holdings Under $25B Settlement

March 16, 2012
Many non-agency MBS investors are upset with the $25 billion servicing settlement involving 49 state attorneys general, eight federal agencies and the nation’s five largest servicers, the full terms of which were filed in U.S. District Court this week. Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and Ally Financial will receive some credit for modifying loans they service but do not own, although several of these firms have indicated that they plan to focus their efforts on portfolio loans. The Association of Mortgage Investors said the settlement establishes a precedent under which the bad debts of...
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$34 Billion in Rep and Warrant Payouts Still Lurking For the Non-Agency Sector, Agency Demands Robust

March 16, 2012
Even though approximately $10.0 billion in non-agency representation and warranty payouts have already been included in proposed or completed settlements, another $34.0 billion in payouts are probably waiting in the wings, with Bank of America and JPMorgan facing the largest exposure by far, according to analysts at Barclays Capital. “Total payouts to non-agency investors from rep and warranty related recoveries will be $26.0 billion to $52.0 billion, using the $8.5 billion Countrywide settlement deal as a template. This corresponds to an average of 3-6 points of recoveries on non-agency securities...
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FHFA Offers Timeline for Strategic Plan Edging Fannie And Freddie to a Post-GSE Secondary Mortgage Market

March 16, 2012
By the end of 2012, the Federal Housing Finance Agency will see a plan for a new mortgage securitization platform as a key component in its strategic plan for the conservatorships of the two government-sponsored enterprises, even as analysts warn that transferring credit risk from the GSEs to private investors is fraught with hazard. Late last week, the FHFA unveiled a new “conservatorship scorecard” that provides more details about the agency’s revamped strategic plan for a post-Fannie and Freddie secondary market. “It’s important to see the scorecard itself as further evidence of our commitment to the work...
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Fannie Mae’s Cost-Cutting Proposal Puts Major Underwriters of Lender-Placed Insurance at Risk

March 15, 2012
A Fannie Mae proposal to reduce the cost of lender-placed homeowner insurance might be great news for borrowers but not for insurance companies that underwrite the product, warned Moody’s Investors Service. While Fannie has not disclosed the full details of its cost-reduction proposal, the government-sponsored enterprise plans to place policies directly with insurance companies, rather than accept policies put in place by the mortgage lender. Last week, the GSE issued a “request for proposals” inviting insurance companies to compete for the GSE’s lender-placed business. The request is...
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Ginnie Pledge Agreement with Credit Suisse Likely To Increase Liquidity, Lower Costs, Attract Issuers

March 9, 2012
Ginnie Mae and Credit Suisse struck a “pledge acknowledgement agreement” last week that industry observers think will increase liquidity for mortgage lending and servicing, especially for smaller, independent players, attract more Ginnie lenders and issuers to the marketplace, and lower the overall costs of funding FHA/VA originations. Late last week, Ginnie announced that Credit Suisse has become the first institution to adopt a recently-revised pledge acknowledgement agreement. Through this arrangement, mortgage securities issuers will now be able to more easily tap funds at lower...
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Policy Change Allows Fannie to Demand Return of Premiums If Lenders Show Excessive Prepay Pattern

March 9, 2012
Fannie Mae has updated its premium recapture policy by establishing standards for remediation in cases where a lender exhibits a peculiar prepayment behavior. Under the current guide, Fannie Mae has the right to analyze MBS that have high levels of prepayments, including a review of the lender’s origination and refinancing activities to ensure compliance with the government-sponsored enterprise’s requirements. If a lender shows an unusually high level of prepayments, Fannie may restrict any refinancing practice that might inappropriately affect the prepayment pattern for Fannie mortgages...
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Securitization Market Doesn’t Want Invitation to the Volcker Rule Party

March 9, 2012
Though Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke stated last week that the regulatory agencies would not hit the July 21 deadline for a finalized Volcker rule, such news only leaves the securitization industry with more time to stew in anxiety about a regulation that many feel should not apply to them. The controversial Volcker rule, one of the many required by the Dodd-Frank Act, is designed to limit the ability for financial institutions to benefit financially by shorting their customers, through the prohibition of federally insured banks engaging in proprietary trading, covered transactions with hedge funds or...
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Fitch: Principal Reduction Benefits Must Be Weighed Against Moral Hazard Risk to RMBS Investors

March 9, 2012
Principal reductions hold the potential for a positive impact on the mortgage market by preventing some foreclosures, but residential MBS investors stand to lose from an improperly implemented, wide-ranging loan modification effort, according to Fitch Ratings. The mandated principal reduction provisions in the recent $25 billion settlement involving state attorneys general, the federal government and the five largest mortgage servicers appear to be a “sensible approach” as loan modifications with principal reductions have performed better than other types of mods, but Fitch noted the benefit comes with a...
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