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Time for a Second Round of PPIP, Analysts Say, While Fed Stands Pat on Added MBS Purchases

November 4, 2011
With the non-agency MBS sector still languishing, it’s time to put the approximately $6.3 billion in unused purchasing power at the Public-Private Investment Program to use in a revamped iteration, according to analysts at Deutsche Bank. “The Public-Private Investment Program has been having a tough time in 2011 despite a remarkable initial success in facilitating price discovery and supporting market functioning in the residential MBS market,” said two Deutsche Bank analysts in a recent report. They note that all eight of the Public-Private Investment Funds suffered a declining internal...
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Higher Ratings of Structured Products Appear Driven by Revenue Considerations, Study Contends

November 4, 2011
Credit rating agencies appear to be more generous in rating structured finance products over other bond types because they tend to bring in more revenue, according to a recent study by academics. Researchers at Indiana University, American University and Rice University said that, contrary to assertions by the top credit rating agencies, asset classes are not equal when it comes to ratings. The study “Credit Ratings Across Asset Classes: A=A?” claims there is overwhelming evidence that structured products, such as MBS, receive significantly higher, more optimistic ratings than those assigned to bonds issued by...
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Redwood Lost Money on Recent Jumbo MBS, Positive on Long-Term Outlook

November 4, 2011
Redwood Trust took a loss on the $375.2 million jumbo mortgage-backed security it issued at the end of September, officials at the real estate investment trust revealed this week. However, the company plans to issue another jumbo MBS within the next few months and anticipates turning a profit on its non-agency activity in the long-term. ...
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House Divided on Return of High Loan Limits

November 4, 2011
Prospects for a return of elevated conforming loan limits remain unclear after the Senate approved a reinstatement provision in an appropriations bill in October. Most conservatives in the House remain strongly opposed to the reinstatement – which would likely delay the return of the non-agency market. More than 30 percent of members of the House support a temporary reinstatement of elevated conforming loan limits, according to a letter sent to House leaders this week. ...
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PPIP Hits Turbulence, Invesco Quits Program

November 4, 2011
The stellar returns on non-agency mortgage-backed securities purchased via the Public-Private Investment Program have faltered this year, prompting some to call for a revamp of the program. Invesco – the fund that has seen the most success with the PPIP – also recently announced that it quit the program after having difficulties finding appropriate investments. ... [includes one data chart]
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Issuers Interested in Garrett’s Non-Agency Proposal

November 4, 2011
A new regulatory regime for non-agency securitization proposed last week by Rep. Scott Garrett, R-NJ, has attracted some support from non-agency mortgage-backed security issuers. However, the Private Mortgage Market Investment Act, which is aimed at reviving the non-agency market, also faces some bipartisan opposition. “This legislation, along with regulatory plans to ‘level the playing field,’ could spur a broad resurgence of the private MBS market in the short-term, for the benefit of homeowners, lenders, and investors,” said Martin Hughes, president and CEO of Redwood Trust, at a hearing this week by the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Capital Markets and Government Sponsored Enterprises. ...
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Analysts: FHFA Revision of HARP to Have ‘Modest’ Impact Overall, Expect Drop in Premium MBS Prices

October 28, 2011
As the picture of the revised Home Affordable Refinance Program finally came into greater focus this week, MBS analysts indicate that the impact of HARP 2.0 will neither be quite as terrible for MBS investors as feared, nor terribly helpful to the stagnant housing market and the economy at large. The Federal Housing Finance Agency made most of the changes the market expected and steered clear of one that might have boosted HARP business significantly: changing the eligibility cut-off date to give existing HARP borrowers a second crack at the program. The agency agreed to remove the 125 percent loan-to-value cap – although very little...
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Rep. Garrett Aims to Create a New Private RMBS Market While Retaining Some Federal Oversight

October 28, 2011
House Republicans have already introduced a variety of separate bills to clamp down on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac while the two government-sponsored enterprises remain in conservatorship, and a key GOP lawmaker this week introduced legislation intended to jumpstart a private MBS market to take over when the agencies are finally dissolved. The Private Mortgage Market Investment Act, drafted by Rep. Scott Garrett, R-NJ, would create a heavily regulated MBS market made up solely of private entities functioning with no federal guarantee at all. The lawmaker, who chairs the House Financial Services Subcommittee on...
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Industry Experts Ponder How to Preserve the Best Parts of MBS Market in a Government-Free System

October 28, 2011
Mortgage securitization experts have not yet figured out how to preserve the liquidity and consumer benefits provided by the to-be-announced agency MBS market in a mortgage finance system that doesn’t have a role for government agencies. “The failure of the private market has been in figuring out how to encourage a solution with less government,” said Peter Nirulescu, a partner at Capital Market Risk Advisors, during a panel held by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association this week. Despite panelists’ varying perspectives, all agreed that the TBA market continued to perform robustly and any changes made to the...
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New Entrants Bring New Ideas to Rating Business, But Others Question Whether Much Has Changed

October 28, 2011
New regulatory requirements – including a controversial plan to assign ratings on a rotating basis – are encouraging firms to test the traditional approaches to rating MBS and ABS, but some observers say the reliance on an issuer-pay business model will be tough to change. New rating services are coming up with new ways to assess risk with more dynamic, ongoing reviews and more sources of information, and they’re less reliant on being fed information, said Stephen Kudenholdt, co-chair of the capital markets practice at SNR Denton. But the expectation that the market would shift to an investor-paid model clearly hasn’t...
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