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DOJ, State AGs Partner on MBS Investigations

February 3, 2012
The Department of Justice announced last week that it will increase the number of attorneys, analysts, agents and investigators looking into unlawful activities regarding mortgage-backed securities. The emphasis on MBS was directed by President Obama and is part of a new working group involving the DOJ, federal regulators and a number of state attorneys general. The DOJ, Department of Housing and Urban Development, Securities and Exchange Commission and state attorneys general led by New York AG Eric Schneiderman formed the Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities Working Group under the existing Financial Fraud Enforcement Task Force ...
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Outlook Murky for Bulk REO Sales to Investors

February 3, 2012
Investors have expressed a keen interest in programs that would facilitate bulk sales of real estate-owned properties. However, few are optimistic that such a program will come to fruition. Based on cost figures provided by Carrington Holding Company, Vincent Fiorillo, a portfolio manager at DoubleLine Capital, suggested investors could easily earn returns of 9.0 percent by renting REO properties. “This is a very attractive alternative investment opportunity,” Fiorillo said at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas ...
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Obama’s Non-Agency Refi Proposal Divisive

February 3, 2012
A new proposal by the Obama administration to refinance non-agency mortgages with negative equity could have a major impact on the non-agency market, though approval by Congress appears unlikely. “Borrowers with standard non-GSE loans will have access to refinancing through a new program run through the FHA,” the Obama administration said in a fact sheet released this week. “For responsible borrowers, there will be no more barriers and no more excuses.” The program would require that borrowers ...
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Non-Agency PPIP Funds Take Losses in 4Q11

February 3, 2012
Firms participating in the Public-Private Investment Program with a focus on non-agency mortgage-backed securities all took losses in the fourth quarter of 2011 compared with the previous quarter, according to an analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The Oaktree PPIP Fund – which only invests in commercial MBS – was the only public-private investment fund to increase its net internal rate of return since inception in the fourth quarter of 2011, Treasury Department data show. The Treasury cautioned that it is ... [Includes one data chart]
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Economics of Non-Agency Securitization Still Unfavorable, Regulation Uncertain

February 3, 2012
Issuance of new non-agency mortgage-backed securities will resume when the financing structure is economical, according to attendees at the American Securitization Forum’s ASF 2012 conference last week in Las Vegas. Just what it will take to make non-agency securitization economical remains to be seen, though some suggest that regulatory uncertainty plays a major factor. “We have not seen much of a test of the non-agency market because it’s not economical,” said Peter Sack, a managing director and co-head of real estate and mortgage finance at Credit Suisse. “The bank portfolio bid is strong.” ...
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Mixed Feelings on New Non-Agency MBS

February 3, 2012
Redwood Trust’s four non-agency mortgage-backed securities – the latest of which was issued last week – have been generally well received by MBS investors. However, some investors, potential issuers and even the rating services have raised concerns regarding the non-agency MBS ratings process, both for Redwood and for other potential securitizers. A senior official at one of the rating services suggested to Inside Nonconforming Markets that ratings shopping is still occurring, and that the Redwood deals have been rated by the firms with the lowest credit-enhancement requirements ...
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No Major Surge Expected From Expansion Of HAMP, But Changes Will Be Positive

February 3, 2012
The Obama administration late last week announced that it is extending its Home Affordable Modification Program for another year and sweetening the inducements to get investors to agree to principal reduction loan mods. MBS analysts generally grade the changes as a positive for the non-agency MBS market, but the impact on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac securities may depend on whether the government-sponsored enterprises agree to principal reductions. The revised HAMP program will now be available for investor-owned mortgages, and it will feature a revised debt-to-income calculation taking into...
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Regulatory Complexity Threatens to Stall MBS/ABS Market Recovery, Experts Say

February 3, 2012
While a major regulatory concern of the past few years – the risk-retention rule – has yet to be resolved, the industry is squaring its shoulders for new challenges: the so-called Volcker Rule, a proposal on conflicts of interest in securitization and new bank capital requirements regarding market risk. These projects could do “enormous or irreparable damage to the industry, and entire sectors of the industry could be lopped off,” said Tom Deutsch, executive director of the American Securitization Forum, during the ASF conference last week in Las Vegas. Only about one eighth of the regulatory requirements...
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Agency MBS Issuance Cools Slightly in January Despite Gains in Freddie and Ginnie Programs

February 3, 2012
Freddie Mac saw a substantial increase in its single-family MBS program from December to January, but overall agency MBS production declined for the month, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. The three agencies generated a total of $114.02 billion in new single-family MBS last month, down 4.0 percent from December. The total was also off 16.4 percent from January 2011 issuance. Agency MBS production had increased steadily over the last five months of 2011 after hitting a low spot of $70.34 billion in July. But issuance at Freddie jumped a whopping 45.8 percent from...
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Ratings Uncertainty, Changing Investor Attitudes Are Key Factors in Sluggish Non-Agency MBS Market

February 3, 2012
New regulations are re-shaping the non-agency MBS market, but economic issues, the ratings process and shifting investor appetite may have more to do with the stalled recovery in the sector, experts said during the American Securitization Forum conference last week in Las Vegas. John Arnholz, a partner at Bingham McCutchen LLP, suggested that the regulators will end up issuing a new proposed rule on risk retention, given the widespread opposition to the original proposal. The proposed premium capture recovery fund idea “came out of nowhere,” he said, adding that there is a good deal of dissent among the six...
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