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Mortgage Securitization Rate Slumped in 2016, But Market Was Catching Up as the Year Came to a Close

February 10, 2017
Only 69.1 percent of home mortgages originated in 2016 wound up in agency or non-agency MBS issued last year, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. It was the second-lowest annual mortgage-securitization rate on record, and the third year in a row that the rate failed to reach the 70.0 percent mark. The low securitization rate mostly results from the fact that relatively few jumbo mortgages get out of bank portfolios and into the non-agency MBS market. According to Inside Mortgage Finance estimates, some $381.0 billion of jumbo mortgages were originated...[Includes one data table]
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As Rates Rise, MBS Liquidity Improves. The Wild Card: the Fed’s Plan to ‘Lighten’ Its Balance Sheet

February 10, 2017
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS increased to $229.8 billion during January, the second best reading of the past year, and a sign that liquidity is improving, thanks in part to higher interest rates. According to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association, the January reading was better than the daily trading averages posted for the past four years, which ranged from a low of $178.0 billion in 2014 to a high of $222.8 billion in 2013. Agency trading volumes peaked...
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Higher Interest Rates May Prompt Banks to Unload Fixed-Rate Product, Result in Fewer GSE Refis

February 10, 2017
Analysts at DBRS anticipate some notable changes in the residential mortgage securitization market this year, mostly as a result of expected higher interest rates. “Despite a healthy housing market recovery, post-crisis non-agency RMBS issuance has remained stagnant for several reasons,” said Quincy Tang, managing director of RMBS structured finance, in a new research report issued early this week. In addition to the dominance of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and bank balance-sheet capacity, “a persistently low interest rate environment has rendered...
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MBA Reform Plan Seeks to Preserve TBA Market, But Analyst Says Explicit Guarantee Questionable

February 10, 2017
The need to preserve liquidity and transparency in the existing to-be-announced market was an important component of the Mortgage Bankers Association’s newly-released plan for housing finance reform, according to Deutsche Bank Securities. Jeana Curro, research analyst with Deutsche, said a handful of provisions in the MBA’s latest proposal stand out as improvements from the industry group’s previous ideas on how to reform Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. She agreed...
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Mortgage Securitization Rate Near Record-Low in 2016

February 9, 2017
John Bancroft
Blame the whole loan-hungry megabanks for the low mortgage securitization rate?
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The Benefits of Owning Fannie/Freddie Preferred Stock Over Common

February 9, 2017
Paul Muolo
The two GSEs were placed in conservatorship in September 2008 by Treasury and the Federal Housing Finance Agency. At the time, their common and junior preferred shares were considered worthless.
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Government-Insured Originations Hit All-Time High in 2016, but Fell Off in 4Q16

February 9, 2017
John Bancroft
It doesn’t get any better than this: Ginnie Mae production hit a record $545 billion in 2016…
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BlackRock Executive Craig Phillips Could Play a Role in GSE Reform

February 9, 2017
Paul Muolo
Phillips, managing director of financial markets/client solutions at BlackRock, is well known in MBS circles for his early days at First Boston…
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Short Takes: Time to Sell GSE ‘Juniors’? / Bruce Berkowitz, True Believer / What Fannie, Freddie and Sears Have in Common / Whatever Happened to Sears Mortgage? / Texas Capital Accumulating MSR Assets / First Franklin Settles FHA Charges

February 9, 2017
Paul Muolo
Besides the GSEs, one Fairholme’s most speculative investments is Sears Holdings Corp., the struggling retailer…
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Record Pace for Government Market Lost Steam in Late 2016 As Purchase-Mortgage Lending Swooned

February 9, 2017
Conventional mortgage originations held steady during the fourth quarter of 2016, but the government-insured market saw a noticeable downturn, according to a new Inside Mortgage Finance ranking and analysis. Production of conventional mortgages that fit under the purchase limits for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac actually edged up 1.3 percent from the third quarter, hitting an estimated $322.0 billion. That was the sector’s strongest three-month origination volume since the second quarter of 2013, when lenders pumped out $363.0 billion of conventional-conforming loans. Jumbo mortgage originations were...[Includes two data tables]
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