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HARP 2.0 Will Not Have Precipitous Impact on MBS Market With Room to Grow, Analysts Say

September 23, 2011
Although the outlines of an expanded Home Affordable Refinance Program are far from clear, MBS analysts say the most likely changes designed to help more borrowers take advantage of record low mortgage rates will not have a disastrous impact on the MBS market. Observers note that there are two ways to expand the potential HARP population: remove the existing chronological restriction (loans made prior to June 2009) or lift the current loan-to-value restriction of 125 percent. The chronological restriction is relevant because a lot of borrowers who have used HARP already could benefit from refinancing again because...
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Legislative Effort to Extend FHA, GSE Loan Limits Fails

September 23, 2011
The House this week voted to reject a short-term government spending bill but what’s interesting is what’s not in it: a provision extending the temporary loan limits. While attention is on the possibility of a government shutdown, it appears that a last-ditch effort by the mortgage industry and its allies in Congress to extend the current $729,750 high-cost area loan limit before Sept. 30 has failed. The measure lost by a vote of 195-230 after Democrats withdrew their support and 48 Republicans defied party leaders in protest over spending caps. It would have kept the government operating through...
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FHFA, White House Seek to Gradually Increase GSE Guarantee Fees Closer to Private Market

September 22, 2011
Expect a gradual but deliberate increase in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guarantee fees to a level that more closely reflects what a private market would charge, the head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency announced this week. In a speech at the American Mortgage Conference in Raleigh, NC, FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco said that since Fannie and Freddie were placed into government conservatorship three years ago this month, the two government-sponsored enterprises have steadily increased g-fees and lessened the degree of cross subsidization in credit pricing. Yet, DeMarco noted, the GSEs’ current pricing for credit guarantees “is...
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Industry Lobbyists Face Uphill Battle to Maintain Existing High-Cost Loan Limits

September 22, 2011
Industry groups are ramping up efforts to extend conforming loan limits currently available in high-cost markets that are set to expire at the end of the month, focusing their lobbying efforts on appropriations legislation in the House. The National Association of Realtors and the National Association of Home Builders are dou-bling their efforts to persuade Congress to extend current limits for Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA, which top out at $729,750 for single-family units in the lower 48. Barring legislative action, the top loan limit will drop to $625,500 on Oct. 1. In addition to the lower ceiling, loan limits in most high-cost markets will...
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Expert: Sell GSE Credit Risk, Set Private Sector Benchmark

September 16, 2011
In order to provide a benchmark that helps the private sector price mortgage credit, policy makers need to make an effort to replicate the standardization and uniformity currently provided by agency mortgage-backed securities, the managing director of Barclays Capital told lawmakers last week.
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GSEs Now Dominate Multifamily CMBS

September 16, 2011
During the past three years, the GSEs have steadily increased their commercial mortgage-backed security issuance, assuming a role of dominance that private investment banks once held, concluded a recent report by Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services.
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GSE Loss Mititgation Activity Declines in 2Q

September 16, 2011
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loan modification and overall loss mitigation activity declined again in the second quarter, driven by decreases in completed loan mods and forbearance plans and continuing a downward trend begun a year ago, a new analysis of data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency by Inside The GSEs finds. Total loss mitigation activity – total home retention efforts and foreclosure alternatives combined – slipped 1.5 percent in the second quarter of the year to 246,879 and was down 34.3 percent from year ago levels. Our analysis was based on the FHFA’s Second Quarter 2011 Foreclosure Prevention & Refinance Report.
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Mortgage Trends

September 16, 2011
State regulators are gradually working through the pile of licensing applications submitted by mortgage companies and loan originators. The total number of unique entities holding state licenses increased 7.2 percent during the second quarter, reaching 140,421, according to an Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of data from the National Mortgage Licensing System. The vast majority of those licenses (76 percent) are held by individual loan officers. Regulators still had some 35,024 licensing applications pending at the end of June, but that was down 23 percent from the previous quarter. And the number of new applications submitted during...
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Securitization Rates Remain Sky High In 2011, Skewed by First Quarter Surge

September 16, 2011
Mortgage securitization rates remained at record levels through the first half of 2011, reflecting a sharp decline in new primary market production and a surge of agency issuance early in the year. A new Inside MBS & ABS analysis reveals that mortgage securitization activity in the first half of 2011 equaled 96.0 percent of loans originated during the same period. That compares to an 84.9 percent securitization rate for all of 2010 and an 85.6 percent rate – the record high – back in 2009. Because it can take weeks or even months before a newly originated mortgage hits the capital markets as collateral backing an MBS, there is a significant slippage between... [Includes one data chart]
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Boxer/Isakson Refi Bill Would Cost Fed GSE MBS Portfolios as Much as $4 Billion, Authors Concede

September 16, 2011
One of the primary sponsors of mortgage refinance legislation pending in the Senate told colleagues this week that her legislation could save homeowners and Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac tens of millions of dollars, while acknowledging that it could cost the Federal Reserve billions of dollars in lost investment income. Testifying on behalf of her legislation before a Senate subcommittee on Wednesday, Sen. Barbara Boxer, D-CA, said S. 170, the Helping Responsible Homeowners Act of 2011, “would result in up to 54,000 fewer defaults and produce a net savings up to $100 million for Fannie and Freddie.” Homeowners would see immediate relief. “A one and a half percent reduction in...
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