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Short Takes: What Higher Rates Might Mean / And the Refi King of Mortgage Banking is… / There’s Still a Disturbance in the (Mortgage) Force, Only Less So / Vertical Looking to Buy / Better Mortgage’s First Year

March 8, 2017
Paul Muolo
Fannie and Freddie are still worth less than social media darling Snap, but the gap is narrowing...
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How Much Longer Can Hedge Funds Hold on to their GSE Stock Wagers?

March 7, 2017
Paul Muolo
Fairholme extolled the GSE’s massive fourth quarter profits of almost $10 billion, and called them “indispensable” to the mortgage insurance industry…
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Will Treasury Take a Look at Mortgage Servicing Compensation?

March 7, 2017
Paul Muolo
Perhaps, residential servicers should receive 33 basis points for servicing Fannie/Freddie loans, not 25 bps...
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Short Takes: It Appears Carson Likes the MI Industry / New HUD Chief Carson Asks Employees to Take ‘The Niceness’ Pledge / You Can’t Overload the Human Brain? / Prestwick Selling GSE Servicing Rights / Freddie’s New Whole Loan Deal

March 7, 2017
Brandon Ivey and Paul Muolo
"You can't overload the human brain," said newly minted HUD secretary Ben Carson. And there was more...
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The Trump ‘Wire Tap’ Accusation and What it Means for the GSEs

March 6, 2017
Paul Muolo
Cowen notes: “…this latest flare up reinforces our view that Treasury is unlikely in 2017 to unilaterally change the profit sweep at Fannie and Freddie…”
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Strong Turnout at SFIG Vegas Conference, But Investors Still Largely Lack Confidence in Non-Agency MBS

March 3, 2017
The SFIG Vegas conference this week set another attendance record for the annual event, demonstrating strong interest in the structured finance market. While investors are comfortable with most asset classes of MBS and ABS, significant concerns remain about non-agency MBS. More than 6,700 people registered for the conference, according to Jade Friedensohn, director of programming at Information Management Network, which produced the conference along with the Structured Finance Industry Group. Potential investors in non-agency MBS continued...
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Agency MBS Production Fell Sharply in February, But Market in Early 2017 is Way Ahead of Last Year’s Pace

March 3, 2017
Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae produced a combined $96.70 billion of new single-family MBS during February, a sharp 27.9 percent decline from the previous month, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside MBS & ABS. February’s issuance was the lowest monthly volume since March of last year. All three agencies saw substantial declines in gross MBS issuance, led by Fannie’s 31.9 percent drop. Still, agency MBS production in the first two months of 2017 was...[Includes two data tables]
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How Much Longer Can Hedge Funds Hold on to Their GSE Stock Wagers?

March 3, 2017
Late last month, Fairholme Capital chief Bruce Berkowitz sent out a press release reassuring his shareholders that the hedge fund’s bet on owning the junior preferred stock of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will prevail, eventually. Among other things, the veteran equity-fund manager extolled the government-sponsored enterprises’ massive fourth quarter profits of almost $10 billion, called them “indispensable” to the mortgage insurance industry and reminded readers they continue to fulfill “their historic role of insuring adequate levels of liquidity to lenders of all sizes.” He also mentioned...
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Fannie’s Second Front-End Credit Risk-Sharing Deal Much Larger than First, GSEs Mull Other Forms

March 3, 2017
Fannie Mae announced its second deal using credit insurance risk transfer on the front end of the transaction. Most of the government-sponsored enerprise’s CIRT transactions have involved insurance contracts on pools of loans that have already been securitized. The new front-end CIRT deal will shift a portion of the credit risk on about $15 billion worth of single-family loans, significantly larger than Fannie’s first test of the structure back in October, which involved about $3.7 billion of single-family loans. This CIRT, like the first one, will be...
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What We’re Hearing: What We Talk About When We Talk About Financial Lunacy / Should Apple Buy Fannie and Freddie? / The Coming Boom in Mortgage Delinquencies in the Washington, DC, Area / FannieMae.com?

March 3, 2017
Paul Muolo
Go figure: An "app" company called Snap that may never make a nickel is now worth more than Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac...
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