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Wells Sees 60 Percent Plunge in 4Q Originations, JPM’s Volume Down 54 Percent

January 14, 2014
Paul Muolo
On a sequential basis, the origination results look slightly better: a 38 percent decline compared to the third quarter of 2013 for Wells and a 42 percent downdraft for JPM. Both have laid off thousands of mortgage workers over the few quarters.
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Short Takes: Will MBA’s Origination Forecast Hold Water? / The Equity Market Must Love Altisource / Connecticut Taxpayers Must Love TMS / DocMagic Scores Another Client / Dan Smith Leaves BrightPath Mortgage

January 14, 2014
Paul Muolo
As expected, the Mortgage Bankers Association this week lowered its 2014 origination forecast to $1.12 trillion, a $57 billion decrease from its previous estimate. Word of the reduction was making the rounds last week.
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Nonbank in New York Selling $1.3 Billion in Fannie, Ginnie MSRs

January 13, 2014
Paul Muolo
MSR sales, in general, are expected to be brisk in the first quarter as lenders sell receivables to make up for declining originations.
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Mortgage Earnings Preview: Less Reliance on ‘Reserve Releases’

January 13, 2014
Paul Muolo
However, the greatest earnings impact could fall on such mid-sized mortgage firms as PHH Corp., Redwood Trust, and PennyMac Financial Services.
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Short Takes: Here Comes HARP 3.0? / Who is Walter Investment Talking To? / Fear the ATR / QM and its Effect on First-Time Home Buyers / Mel Watt Names Top Advisors at FHFA

January 13, 2014
Paul Muolo, Thomas Ressler, and Charles Wisniowski
We continue to hear reports that Walter Investment Management is talking to a fairly large nonbank about a possible acquisition.
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NPL Sellers Should Do Well in 2014

January 10, 2014
Over the past year, home values – including distressed sales – have risen by almost 12 percent, which can only mean good things for sellers of nonperforming mortgages. Investors and auction companies that play in the non-performing loan space are expecting a banner year for sales, but also are quick to caution that every real estate (and loan) market is different. “We auctioned off roughly $11 billion in NPLs in 2013,” said J. Kingsley Greenland, president and CEO of The Debt Exchange, which operates ...
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Enterprise Endnotes

January 10, 2014
Has The Mortgage Deconstruction Trend Run Its Course? The trend of deconsolidation among residential originators is likely to reverse due to the advantages of large lenders, according to projections from Fannie Mae. “The recent decline in large-lender share of the primary market is temporary, and principally a result of cyclical factors that caused larger lenders to pull back from the market,” said Gerry Flood, director of strategic planning in Fannie’s economic and strategic research division.
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What We're Hearing: Non-QM Loan Programs Ready to Multiply Like Tribbles? / Whatever Happened to Raj Date and Fenway Summer? / Investment Fund Loads up on PHH Stock / Bexil American Places its Bet on Correspondent Lending / $50 Billion in MBS Settlements

January 10, 2014
Paul Muolo
When it comes to the new QM rule lenders are operating from a position of fear. You can bet that mortgage attorneys in the Washington DC area have racked up the billable hours, holding their clients’ hands and supplying legal advice as the clock strikes midnight.
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Short Takes: MGIC Continues its Comeback / Who Will Represent GSE Employees? / It’s Earnings Season Which Means MSR Mark-Ups / Wingspan Hires COO / CFPB’s Cordray Does ‘Comedy Central’

January 9, 2014
Paul Muolo and Thomas Ressler
MGIC's stock is trading near a 52-week high of $8.82 a share. The company, like the rest of the sector, is anxiously waiting on new capital-to-risk standards from FHFA.
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New CFPB Servicing Rule May Push Nonbanks And Independents to Sell Rather Than Adapt

January 9, 2014
The mergers-and-acquisitions market is expected to be robust this year thanks to falling loan production, which likely will force weaker players in the mortgage industry to align with stronger partners. But now there’s another reason why M&A activity could be brisk: new servicing rules from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. According to industry officials and Fitch Ratings, new servicing rules will drive up compliance costs for all servicers, but smaller players – including community banks and nonbanks – could see their profits erode as they increase spending to stay compliant. In a new report, Fitch writes...
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