Economists at both Fannie Mae and the MBA project that mortgage rates will average 6.8% in the fourth quarter. Rates started the quarter well above that level with no indications that they’re coming down.
Rocket’s acquisition of Mr. Cooper and Pennymac’s pending acquisition of Cenlar have prompted some changes in market share. M&T Bank posted a sharp increase in subservicing in the second quarter. (Includes data table.)
The Federal Reserve hiked the federal funds rate by 25 bps this week. The move was already baked into mortgage rates, which aren’t expected to climb much higher even if the Fed hikes rates twice more in the next 12 months.
Pennymac and Rocket are focused on developing scale and technology to drive down costs as originations are expected to remain muted due to the higher-for-longer interest rate environment.
Some subservicers are offering to pay deboarding fees charged by competing subservicers to help prompt transfers. MSR owners have some hesitation beyond fees, including risks from transfers.