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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Constrained by a Lack Of Supply, Some Investors Move on to Other Products

September 22, 2017
Issuance of non-agency MBS backed by newly originated home loans remains well below levels seen before the financial crisis. While new regulations have stopped some pre-crisis loan types from being originated, industry participants suggest that other major factors are also limiting the supply of loans available for MBS. Chris Helwig, a managing director at Amherst Pierpont, noted that banks are competing for prime jumbos and holding them in portfolio, and many borrowers who previously might have received subprime mortgages opt for FHA loans. “All that is left for non-agency MBS is...
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Fed Announces MBS Reinvestments Will Begin to Slow in October, Next Rate Hike Seen in December

September 22, 2017
The great unwinding of the Federal Reserve’s massive intervention in the MBS market post-financial crisis is set to begin soon. This week, surprising no one, the U.S. central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee announced it will start to normalize its huge balance sheet next month along the parameters it first outlined in June. From October through December, the decline in the Fed’s securities holdings will be capped at $6 billion per month for Treasuries and $4 billion per month for agency MBS. Next year, the declines will gradually increase to $30 billion a month for Treasuries and $20 billion a month for MBS. Fed Chair Janet Yellen reiterated...
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Ginnie Mae-VA Task Force to Crack Down on Serial Refinance Abusers, Will Expel Program Violators

September 22, 2017
Ginnie Mae and the Department of Veterans Affairs have created a joint task force to deal with improper early refinancing of VA loans – a practice the agencies thought they had eliminated but which has reemerged in the last couple of weeks. The task force will be monitoring closely monthly VA refinancing data and will develop additional policies to augment the current policy, which Ginnie, in consultation with the VA, issued last year to curb churning of VA loans in its MBS. Responding to concerns raised by Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-MA, acting Ginnie President and Chief Operations Officer Michael Bright acknowledged...
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MBS Trading Volume Remained Light In August; Maybe a Fed Exit Will Help

September 22, 2017
The average daily trading volume in agency MBS totaled a tepid $199.8 billion in August, the lowest reading since May, according to figures compiled by the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association. Then again, volume wasn’t too far off trading activity in the prior two months, which came in at $200.5 billion and $200.9 billion. It appears that investors haven’t had...
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Non-Agency MBS Issuance Constrained by a Lack of Supply

September 22, 2017
Brandon Ivey
Matt Nichols, CEO of Deephaven Mortgage, a company that has issued nonprime MBS in recent years, said the main impediment to nonprime MBS is supply.
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Trade Groups Tell Treasury and FHFA: Legislation for GSE Reform, No Recap and Release

September 22, 2017
Paul Muolo
In a research note published Friday, Cowen & Co. notes the letter is an indication these groups believe allowing the GSEs to retain capital will prolong the conservatorships.
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ATTOM: Home ‘Flips’ Decline – Along with Profits

September 22, 2017
Sherry Muolo
ATTOM’s Daren Blomquist: “In markets where distressed discounts have largely dried up, flippers are showing more willingness to leverage financing when acquiring properties…”
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What We’re Hearing: A GSE ‘Black Swan’? / More TBTF, Perhaps / A Dividing Issue: Zero Capital / Will Mnuchin Cut a Deal with Speculators? / Waiting on a Ginnie Mae Nominee (Still) / A New Business Home for Anne Canfield

September 22, 2017
Paul Muolo
An impossible scenario, one that keeps Federal Housing Finance Agency Director Mel Watt up a night? We shall see...
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Mortgage Brokers Face Uphill Challenge in Jumbo Market, Make Gains Elsewhere

September 22, 2017
The wholesale-broker channel accounts for a relatively small amount of new business in the jumbo mortgage market, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of lender surveys. Brokers accounted for just 4.6 percent of jumbo originations during the second quarter of 2017, although volume was up 13.7 percent from the first three months. The problem is that jumbo lending by a diverse sample of mortgage lenders was up 19.9 percent overall, meaning ... [Includes three data charts]
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Underwriters Experiment with ‘Alt’ Data

September 22, 2017
A number of lenders outside of the mortgage market are starting to rely on alternative data to help make underwriting decisions. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is also encouraging use of such alternative data sources, which could prompt adoption by more lenders. Speaking at the ABS East conference produced by Information Management Network this week in Miami Beach, Joanne Gaskin, a senior director at FICO, said some lenders are relying on ...
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