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As More Mortgages Go Underwater, Strategic Default Decisions Spread Like a ‘Disease,’ Says Industry Study

November 18, 2011
An underwater borrower’s strategic decision to default on a mortgage is triggered not only by economic conditions but how fast the notion can be transmitted throughout a society, which could either result in a full market recovery or a systemic collapse, according to a new mortgage industry study. The study, Strategic Default in the Context of a Social Network: An Epidemiological Approach, suggests that the key to understanding strategic default is to look at it in terms of a disease and how contagious it is. “As social animals, humans knowingly or otherwise look to their peers before...
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Special Servicers Pick Up the Slack As Banks Dump Subprime Servicing

November 18, 2011
The outstanding supply of subprime mortgages in the market continued to decline in the third quarter, but three special servicers significantly increased their portfolios, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The growing servicers – Ocwen Financial, Nationstar Mortgage and Walter Investment Management – all focus on high-touch servicing. Special servicing is in particularly high demand as banks have started to sell their subprime holdings, a trend expected to...
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Congress Votes to Increase Only FHA Loan Limits

November 18, 2011
The high-cost loan limits for FHA mortgages will be re-elevated to $729,750 through at least the end of 2013 while the government-sponsored enterprises’ loan limits will remain unchanged under appropriations legislation approved by Congress this week. Industry participants suggest that the FHA’s newly higher loan limits will have little impact on non-agency jumbo activity. The revised FHA loan limits were included in “mini-bus” appropriations legislation for the Department of Housing and Urban Development and other federal agencies. The bill – which also contained a Continuing Resolution to avoid a government shutdown – was...
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Mixed Reaction to Non-Agency Fee-for-Servicing

November 18, 2011
The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s recent proposal to revamp servicer compensation has received mixed reactions from non-agency participants. High-touch servicers approve of the landscape-shifting fee-for-service proposal but analysts suggest that the system would be much more difficult to establish for non-agency mortgages than for agency loans. Ocwen Financial and other servicers that predominantly handle delinquent mortgages favor the FHFA’s proposal that would significantly increase the fees paid to service delinquent loans and lower the base servicing fee for performing loans, perhaps to...
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New GSE Reform, Covered Bond Bills in Senate

November 18, 2011
Two new bills aimed at increasing non-agency activity were introduced in the Senate last week. One would wind down the government-sponsored enterprises while the other would establish a framework for covered bonds. S. 1834, “The Residential Mortgage Market Privatization and Standardization Act” introduced last week by Sen. Bob Corker, R-TN, would gradually reduce the portion of the mortgage-backed security guarantee provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Within 180 days of the bill’s enactment, the GSEs could only issue MBS with a guarantee for 90 percent of a bond. The guarantee on...
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President Signs FHA Loan Limit Increase Measure

November 18, 2011
President Obama this week signed into law a stop gap spending measure, which, among other things, reinstates temporary higher limits for loans insured by FHA. The minibus bill, which combines several appropriations bill, passed the house on a vote of 298-121. The Senate approved previously approved it 70-30. The measure raises the FHA’s maximum loan limit back up to $729,750 after it had fallen to the permanent statutory level of $625,500 on Oct. 1, and extends it through the end of 2013. The new limit is effective immediately. After being extended three times – in 2008, 2009 and 2010 – the higher loan limits finally expired on Oct. 1 this year and were ...
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FHA Fund Drops Further, Experts Divided on Meaning

November 18, 2011
The FHA Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund for single-family loans again fell short of minimum capital standards, spurring renewed warnings of a taxpayer bailout if losses continue to mount. According to FHA’s annual report to Congress on its financial status and the condition of the MMI Fund, reserves dropped to 0.24 percent in 2011 from 0.50 percent last year. This means that the agency is holding only $2.6 billion of excess reserves, down from $4.7 billion the year before, against roughly $1.1 trillion of FHA-insured loans. The report also noted that unless housing prices stabilize and losses drop, the fund has a 50 percent chance of a taxpayer bailout. The negative effects in the report’s “base case” scenario were caused by ...
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GAO Says FHA Too Slow in Implementing Risk Strategies

November 18, 2011
The Department of Housing and Urban Development will integrate risk management efforts as soon as the agency’s new Office of Risk Management (ORM) is up and running, according to a new report from the Government Accountability Office. Although the report provides no timeline, it said that HUD has indicated a willingness to adopt changes the GAO recommended to speed up the implementation of an overall risk management strategy. The FHA needs to reassure Congress that it has the proper controls in place to minimize financial risks arising from increased reliance on FHA mortgage insurance, the GAO said. Lawmakers are concerned that ...
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Legislation Retaining VA Funding Fee Rates Passed

November 18, 2011
Legislation that would keep VA funding fees at their current levels through FY 2016 was sent this week to President Obama for signature. The House of Representatives passed the bill, H.R. 674, the 3 Percent Withholding Repeal and Job Creation Act of 2011, on Nov. 16, with amendments from the Senate. The Senate approved the bill on Nov. 10. The president is expected to sign the bill. However, if the bill is not signed by Nov. 18, funding fees will decrease as scheduled for a short period, according to the Department of Veterans Affairs in a published guidance to VA lenders. If funding fees do reset to the lower amounts ...
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FHA Docs, Certain IRS Forms to be E-Signed in 2012

November 18, 2011
The FHA and the Internal Revenue Service are working on implementing electronic signatures in loan documents and certain federal tax forms in 2012. In a recent letter to members, David Stevens, president and chief executive officer of the Mortgage Bankers Association, said the trade group has been working with both agencies for the past 18 months to allow the use of e-signatures on FHA loan documents and to automate the IRS Form 4506-T process as early as next year. Form 4506-T is a request for a transcript of a filer’s tax return.
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