The agency residential MBS market expanded for the third consecutive quarter during the three months ending in September, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. A total of $5.39 trillion of single-family MBS issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae were outstanding as of the end of the third quarter of 2012. That was up by a scant 0.2 percent from the previous period, although it was still 0.4 percent below the level at the same time in 2011. Both Ginnie (2.1 percent) and Fannie (0.6 percent) posted...[Includes two data charts]

Analysts expect issuance of new production non-agency MBS to increase in 2013 from this year’s level but remain well below historical non-boom standards. Investor demand for new non-agency MBS has increased recently and a number of issuers are looking to enter the market, but the non-agency sector also faces significant hurdles. Reform of the government-sponsored enterprises and pending risk-retention rules need to be resolved before non-agency MBS production will increase significantly, according to industry analysts. Through the beginning of December, $13.01 billion in non-agency MBS had been issued...

City councils on each end of the U.S. have responded to the foreclosure crisis by demonstrating an interest in controversial proposals to use eminent domain to seize underwater mortgages, refinance them into FHA loans at fair market value, and then sell them off to other investors. The Salinas (CA) City Council has gone the furthest of the two jurisdictions, choosing Mortgage Resolution Partners earlier this month to develop such a program for the benefit of the homeowners in its jurisdiction. At its Oct. 16, 2012, meeting, the council’s housing subcommittee directed staff to develop and circulate a request for proposals to determine the magnitude of the local residential foreclosure crisis and possible solutions. On Nov. 1, 2012, the RFP was circulated...

Investors in non-agency MBS have numerous concerns about a loan modification program proposed by the Obama administration, according to Tom Deutsch, executive director of the American Securitization Forum. The so-called Market Rate Modification program would target borrowers with negative equity on a mortgage in a non-agency MBS. “For the many significantly underwater borrowers that would not default on their mortgage loans, the MRM proposal would ultimately represent a transfer of wealth from the pension fund and 401(k) investors who lent the mortgage principal through residential MBS to borrowers that have not demonstrated any material life changes that would impair their ability to make their monthly mortgage payments,” Deutsch said in a letter this week to the Treasury Department. He noted...

MBS analysts hold differing expectations as to what the potential replacement of the “temporary” head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency could mean to Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the mortgage securities sector. Recently reported Obama administration backchannel chatter suggests that the White House is actively seeking potential candidates to replace FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, who has been the de facto agency chief since the departure of James Lockhart in September 2009. A report last week by Credit Suisse speculated...

A recession resulting from the federal government taking the U.S. economy over the fiscal cliff would leave Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac vulnerable to higher credit losses and make the two government-sponsored enterprises unprofitable again, according to Moody’s Investors Service. Moody’s this week warned that Washington’s failure to reach a tax and spending agreement would also force the GSEs to ride out the shockwaves of potential financial market disruptions on their derivatives trades. “In our current central economic scenario, both Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are...

Bank and thrift holdings of first-lien mortgages increased by 3.6 percent in the third quarter of 2012 compared with the third quarter of 2011, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. The growth, outpacing portfolio runoff and an overall decline in mortgage debt outstanding, is tied to non-agency mortgages as well as agency-eligible loans being retained by banks. Industry participants are divided on whether the first-lien holdings will ... [Includes one data chart]

The guaranty fees charged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are close to hitting a tipping point where non-agency mortgage-backed security issuance will be the more economic execution for new originations, according to some non-agency participants. “If the non-agency pricing is improving and the GSE pricing is worsening, at some point you’re going to hit a tipping point,” Luke Scolastico, a vice president at Credit Suisse, said last week at a panel discussion hosted by the American Securitization Forum ...

Investors in non-agency mortgage-backed securities are pushing back against a loan modification program proposed by the Obama administration that would target underwater loans backing their investments. “Quite simply, investors have already been significantly harmed by the poor performance of many of the mortgage loans in non-agency MBS, and the Market Rate Modification proposal would only increase the severity of losses suffered by institutional investors,” Tom Deutsch ...

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is considering expanding the size and scope of the exemption on its pending final rule regarding servicing practices, according to agency officials. The CFPB also downplayed concerns that the servicing rule will expand loss-mitigation options beyond those approved by mortgage investors. During a webinar this week hosted by Inside Mortgage Finance, Mitchell Hochberg, regulatory counsel at the CFPB, said the agency is “very heavily” thinking about ...