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Analysts Play Down VASP-Related Prepayment Risk

April 18, 2024
Monica Hogan
Several factors will likely limit changes in prepayment activity in Ginnie MBS as the VA implements a new loss-mitigation program.
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Rates are Rising, Time to Buy MBS? Maybe

April 18, 2024
Paul Muolo
You thought rates would be falling by now, causing the MBS you own to spike in value. Right? It didn’t work out that way, but it might now. Advice: Bet on a rate cut from the Fed by the fall.
Read More

Auto ABS Issuers Shift Strategy on Clean-Up Calls

April 18, 2024
James Dohnert
Uncertainty about interest rate cuts has led more auto ABS issuers to consider clean-up calls.
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Multifamily Construction Could Create Risk for MBS

April 18, 2024
James Dohnert
KBRA found that new multifamily construction could increase risks for MBS concentrated in certain cities.
Read More

LTVs May Not Accurately Reflect CMBS Underwriting

April 18, 2024
Dennis Hollier
The collapse of commercial real estate during the 2008 financial crisis wasn’t the result of poor underwriting by lenders, but due to a widespread misperception of risk, according to a new Fed paper.
Read More

Grapevine: Ginnie to Dig Deeper on Defaults; C-PACE Ratings

April 18, 2024
Brandon Ivey
Ginnie to increase reporting requirements on defaults, loss mitigation; Fitch prepares to rate commercial PACE securitizations; loans for hotels near Disney World head into commercial MBS; FHA extends waiver tied to Ginnie multifamily MBS.
Read More

Primary MI Volume Fades in 1Q24 Agency MBS Market

April 18, 2024
John Bancroft
Refinance volume was up across the board in first-quarter agency business, but the sharp spike in VA activity caught the most attention. (Includes three data tables.)
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Freddie Wants to Buy Closed-End Seconds

April 18, 2024
Dennis Hollier
Critics argue the new second mortgage program is another attempt by Freddie Mac to expand its footprint. But GSE insiders say it’s already allowed under its charter.
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Originations Down Nearly 40% in 2023; Few Lenders Spared

April 18, 2024
Brandon Ivey
United Wholesale Mortgage was the largest lender in 2023. Only 19 of the top 100 lenders increased their production during the year. (Includes data table.)
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VA Secretary Defends VASP at House Oversight Hearing

April 18, 2024
Monica Hogan
VA Secretary Denis McDonough pledged to be transparent with lawmakers on the new VA loss-mitigation program. He said congressional oversight will strengthen performance of the program.
Read More
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