The improved financial performance of the GSEs largely reflects the impact of CECL. The provisions for losses that would have been made in 2Q20 under the old accounting standard were already accounted for by CECL, which was adopted in December. (Includes data chart.)
Democratic lawmakers said the re-proposed capital rule could adversely affect access to credit for borrowers of color and lower income individuals. Also, they said quickly recapitalizing the GSEs in the midst of a public health crisis might interfere with the nation’s economic recovery.
Pointing to unemployment rates that reached 14.7% in April, and a 7.3% decline in consumer expenditures in March, FHFA is simply acknowledging the obvious: The U.S. economy has entered a recession of unprecedented depth and unknown duration.
When panic first set in over the economic impact of COVID-19, investors sold off historically large volumes of MBS and Treasuries. As a result, liquidity and pricing efficiency both took a beating. It was the Fed’s gluttonous appetite for these securities that brought markets off the cliff.
Hundreds of smaller GSE sellers retained more servicing in the second quarter than they usually do, setting the stage for increased bulk MSR trades when buyers get more confident. (Includes two data charts.)