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Home » Topics » IMFnews » Secondary/MBS

Secondary/MBS
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Mortgage Economists Divided on Rate Outlook

March 25, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Economists at Fannie Mae project that interest rates on mortgages will fall throughout 2026 while MBA's economists see rates rising through September.
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Short Takes: Unemployment Rate Expected to Rise / Delinquencies Increase / Sale Prices Decline at KB Home / Citi Offers Large RPL MBS

March 25, 2026
Brandon Ivey
MBA projects that the unemployment rate will rise from 4.4% in the first quarter of 2026 to a peak of 4.7% in the third quarter.
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GSE Buybacks in 2025 Fall to Level Last Seen in 2020

March 24, 2026
John Bancroft
GSE buybacks in 2025 were down 12.8% from 2024 and represented the lowest annual total since 2020.
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Short Takes: Home Price Appreciation Slows / Tech Investor Buying Lender / First-Lien HELOC Securitization / Zions Bank to Acquire Multifamily Unit

March 24, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Home prices increased by 0.1% on a monthly, seasonally-adjusted basis, according to Redfin.
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Short Takes: Palantir, Moder Partner With Freedom on AI Pilot / Multiply Delivers Lower Rates Through Employer Benefits / Homebuyers Taking Their Time / Investor Ban to Impact SFR Market

March 23, 2026
James Dohnert
New partnerships are slated to yield an AI-powered originations platform in one case and preferred mortgage rates and homebuying advice as an employee benefit in another.
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Ginnie Loans Help Drive Up Servicing Balances in 2025

March 20, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Some $2.71 trillion of Ginnie servicing was outstanding as of the end of 2025, up 6.8% from 2024.
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Demand for MBS Could Weaken With Prolonged War

March 20, 2026
Dennis Hollier
“The risk,” said Mario Ichaso, a trading desk strategist at Wells Fargo, “is that stagflation becomes the common, more dominating view, and mortgage spreads could widen in that situation.”
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Goldman Offers 3 Non-Agency MBS in Single Day

March 20, 2026
Brandon Ivey
Goldman Sachs launched two prime non-agency MBS and a HELOC securitization Thursday.
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Inflation, Iran Uncertainty Weighing On Fed, Mortgage Rates

March 19, 2026
Brandon Ivey
"We may still see the 30-year dip back below 6%, but a refinance rally feels farther away than it did a month ago," said Eric Orenstein, a senior director at Fitch Ratings.
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Withdrawals From Ginnie MBS Spike in Fourth Quarter

March 19, 2026
Emmeline Willey
The $87.67 billion of removals were largely tied to borrower payoffs.
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