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Short Takes: The MIP Cut: No Big Deal? / A True FHA Jumbo? / New MF MBS From Freddie Mac / Nice Earnings from MGIC / Annaly’s Chief Legal Officer to Retire

January 23, 2017
Paul Muolo
One loan officer said FHA should consider building a "true jumbo program that is exclusive of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac…”
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Despite Some Rebound in Credit Cards and Student Loans, ABS Issuance Was Flat in 2016

January 20, 2017
A soft fourth quarter resulted in a modest uptick in non-mortgage ABS in 2016, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. A few sectors posted solid gains, however. The market produced $174.71 billion of new ABS last year, up just 0.6 percent from the total for 2015. New issuance turned decidedly soft in the fourth quarter with only $34.24 billion in volume. That was down 36.7 percent from the previous period and represented the second-lowest quarterly output since the third quarter of 2012. All the major components of the ABS market saw...[Includes two data tables]
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Freddie Mac Talking to IRS About Tax Issues Tied to the Single Security. Is the ‘Float’ Taxable?

January 20, 2017
John Bancroft
One issue is the tax treatment of compensation that MBS investors receive for converting legacy Freddie participation certificates…
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Moody’s Settles Pre-Crisis Rating Charges for $864 Million; SEC Cites Rating Services for More Recent Problems

January 20, 2017
Moody’s Investors Service agreed to a $863.79 million settlement with the Department of Justice, 21 states and Washington, DC, late last week. The settlement focused on rating activities between 2004 and 2010 involving residential MBS and collateralized debt obligations. According to the settlement, Moody’s used an internal ratings model for most tranches of certain residential MBS that was more lenient than its published guidelines, allowing for lower credit enhancement levels than what the published guidelines required. The internal model was based...
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Investor Cuts Stake in the Nation’s Largest Mortgage REIT Annaly as Rising Rates Cause Nervousness

January 20, 2017
International Value Advisors recently cut its stake in Annaly Capital Management – the nation’s largest mortgage real estate investment trust – by roughly half, a development that could be repeated by other investors as rising rates cause new concerns about MBS prices. At year-end, International owned 4.55 percent of Annaly compared to 9.60 percent a year earlier. Annaly’s largest investment is in agency MBS, of which it owned $73.5 billion at Sept. 30. The publicly traded REIT is...
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GSE Shareholder Case Outlook, Will the Trump Administration Make a Difference?

January 20, 2017
As a number of shareholder lawsuits against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hang in the balance, a new administration offers reasons for some to be optimistic on the cases coming to a close and the Treasury’s sweep of the government-sponsored enterprises’ profits coming to an end. During a Jan. 18 call hosted by Investors Unite, legal experts weighed in on the outlook for GSE shareholder cases just days before the inauguration. Plaintiffs have been arguing that a government bailout of the GSEs and the subsequent Treasury sweep was unnecessary and illegal. “As GSE shareholders, we are...
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Ratings Services Optimistic on RMBS Sector, But Participants See Trump as Wild Card

January 20, 2017
The residential MBS market is expected to be healthy this year, according to some ratings service analysts. But the new president is the big unknown, market participants say. According to analysts at Fitch Ratings, the rating outlook for U.S. RMBS they rate is auspicious, as they expect asset performance trends to stay positive thanks to support from solid, if somewhat uneven, gains in home prices. “Although a number of legacy transactions continue to face negative rating pressure due to declining loan counts and tail risk, rating upgrades outnumbered...
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Jefferies’ Warehouse Securitizations Seen as Performing Well, Replenished with Strong Mortgages as Collateral Turns Over

January 20, 2017
Credit quality for the loans backing unique warehouse-funding securitizations from Jefferies Funding remains strong, according to Moody’s Investors Service. One of the risks was that weaker collateral could be included in the transactions as time passed. The $225.0 million Station Place Securitization Trust 2016-1 received Aaa ratings from Moody’s last February and a $210.0 million 2016-3 transaction issued in May garnered an with Aaa rating. The rating service evaluated the deals recently as the 2016-1 securitization is set to pay down next month. “To date, there has been...
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Former Jeffries Group Bond Trader Faces Another Trial on MBS Fraud

January 20, 2017
After a two-year rollercoaster ride through the court system that ended in 2015, a former Wall Street trader finds himself facing another trial in an MBS fraud case. Jess Litvak, a former bond trader with the Jeffries Group, will go on trial again after a jury found him guilty in 2014 of violating securities laws. He was accused of fraud and misleading investors about the price he had paid for residential MBS. According to attorneys with the law firm of Shepherd Smith Edwards & Kantas in Houston, the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Connecticut originally brought...
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What We’re Hearing: Time for Steve to Talk to Mel / Going to Bed, Disappointed / The GSE Stock Bet: Buy Low, Sell High / Is Pershing Square Losing Money on the GSEs? / NAR Chief Stays Hopeful on MIP Cut

January 20, 2017
Paul Muolo
As one former GSE stock analyst told us: “There’s no way they can be privatized. To maintain an AAA rating they would need 25 percent (I’m guessing) capital to assets. Even at 5 percent there is not enough spread to earn a market return on capital.”
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