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Agency Prepayment Speeds Rise Overall for Lower Coupon MBS, Much Slower for Higher Coupons

October 13, 2011
Prepayments increased overall in September, particularly on agency fixed-rate MBS, with faster pay-downs occurring in lower coupons, according to analyst reviews of prepayment speeds. The experts expressed surprise at unexpectedly high prepayments for recent low coupon vintages and greater weakness for higher coupons. Deutsche Bank analysts reported that speeds for 4.0 percent Fannie Mae MBS issued in 2010 and 2009 more than doubled in September compared to the previous month. Speeds for similar MBS with 4.5 percent coupons increased also as much, they noted. For example, prepayment speeds for 2010 Fannie MBS with a 4.0 percent coupon...
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Strategic Defaults Remain Risk for MBS Investors, But State Recourse Laws Provide Some Protection

October 7, 2011
The strategic default problem is not going away, keeping pressure on servicers and MBS investors to find ways to dis-incentivize these actions. House prices continue to fall, and more underwater homeowners are willing to batter their credit rating and default on their mortgage to get out of an uneconomic deal. In a recent report, analysts at Deutsche Bank said the threat of legal action and risks to assets other than the mortgaged property play a large role in a homeowner’s decision to strategically default. Eleven states are considered non-recourse states, either because they explicitly forbid deficiency judgments or...
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Uncertainty Stemming from Dodd-Frank and Basel Still Worries Securitization Participants

October 7, 2011
Securitization market participants continue to face significant uncertainty from regulatory forces on both sides of the Atlantic that is dampening securitization activity, raising costs and probably leaving some deals undone. Much of the problem stems from capital requirements and the use of credit ratings, which have fallen into disrepute among many lawmakers and regulators in the wake of the collapse of the subprime mortgage market and the resulting credit market freeze in 2008. After last year’s enactment of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, the Federal Reserve, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., the...
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Open Dialogue, Willingness to Compromise is Key in Dealing with Investor Losses, Buybacks, Experts Say

October 7, 2011
Transparency, investor access to information and a willingness to engage in loss mitigation can help reduce the wave of litigation and investor losses resulting from repurchase demands, according to mortgage litigation experts. There’s a better alternative to fighting out buyback claims in court: all counterparties should sit down and find ways to resolve issues that trigger repurchase claims in an open and forthright manner, said panelists on a webinar hosted by Inside Mortgage Finance Publications. “We have to work together because the country is hurting and the longer this drags on, the bigger the problem is going...
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Non-Agency Servicers Urged to Complete Loss Mitigation to Avoid Buyback Fights

October 7, 2011
Investors in non-agency mortgage-backed securities would rather not fight in court to enforce buybacks, according to Talcott Franklin, shareholder of his namesake law firm. However, Franklin said litigation has been necessary because servicers – largely those affiliated with lenders or MBS issuers – have not done enough to prevent losses. “If the banks can get it together on the servicing side and try to reduce these losses, that is going to be the best way for them to proactively reduce these [buyback] risks,” he said this week during a webinar hosted by Inside Mortgage Finance Publications. ...
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Freddie’s Alt Mortgages Subject to New Reviews

October 7, 2011
Alt A mortgages and interest-only loans held by Freddie Mac will be subject to new buyback reviews due to issues with the government-sponsored enterprise’s settlement with Bank of America. An audit released last week suggests that the GSE lost billions of dollars by failing to include thousands of alternative mortgages in the buyback analysis. The Federal Housing Finance Agency’s Office of Inspector General conducted the audit and – at the request of the FHFA and Freddie – redacted the exact amount of money potentially “left on the table.” ...
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Non-Agency Principal Reduction Mods on the Rise

October 7, 2011
Use of principal reduction in loan modifications increased in the second quarter of 2011, according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. Principal reduction has gained popularity for non-agency mortgages after initially being used almost exclusively on portfolio loans. Some 8,645 principal reduction mods were completed by major banks and thrifts in the second quarter of 2011, according to the OCC. Non-agency mortgages accounted for 48.9 percent of all principal reduction mods in the second quarter of 2011, with portfolio mortgages accounting for the rest of the activity. ...
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Bank/Thrift Home-Equity Holdings Down Slightly

October 7, 2011
Holdings of home-equity loans by banks and thrifts fell by 1.9 percent in the second quarter of 2011 compared with the previous quarter, according to the Inside Mortgage Finance Bank Mortgage Database. Delinquencies on the loans remain low but banks are being subject to greater regulatory scrutiny regarding their treatment of HELs. Banks and thrifts held $1.23 trillion in HELs at the end of the second quarter of 2011. The serious delinquency rate on the loans was 2.04 percent, down from 2.09 percent the previous quarter. ... [Includes one data chart]
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Foreclosure Negotiations With State Attorneys General Hit More Roadblocks, Massachusetts Goes to Court

October 6, 2011
State attorneys general trying to negotiate a big-ticket settlement with top mortgage servicers saw their coalition fracture further over the past week, including a decision by Massachusetts to move independently toward litigation. A major stumbling block continues to be divergent views among the states on whether lenders should get immunity from non-servicing issues such as potential litigation over securitization as part of the deal. The widely held view is that top banks were willing to put up a combined $20 billion to be used to help struggling borrowers to settle legal challenges that were spawned by...
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HUD Inspector Finds Defects in Countrywide Loans As Industry Faces Emerging New Buyback Exposure

October 6, 2011
A regional inspector general report found “material underwriting deficiencies” in a clump of FHA loans originated by Countrywide Financial, and though Bank of America may end up paying about $1 million to settle the charges, the case could be a harbinger of bigger losses to come. The Department of Housing and Urban Development inspector general for five upper midwest states singled out Countrywide for an audit because the company’s average default-to-claim rate was high for the region. The IG audited just 14 FHA loans, but half of them contained material underwriting deficiencies, mostly failing to...
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