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Inside Mortgage Trends
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Lack of Procedures for Resolving Buyback Disputes A Credit Negative for Any MBS Transaction

April 20, 2012
Lack of procedures for resolving repurchase conflicts between non-agency MBS investors and providers of representations and warranties could negatively affect the rating for any newly issued residential MBS, according to a new analysis by Moody’s Investors Service. The volume of unresolved repurchase conflicts between MBS investors and reps and warranties providers can be gauged by the number of lawsuits and the growing dollar value of settlements, said Moody’s analyst Kathryn Kelbaugh. The issue was thrust into the spotlight recently because 82 percent of the loans backing the $746 million non-agency...
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GSE MBS Business Surges in 1Q 2012 Due to Refi

April 20, 2012
MBS Business Surges in 1Q 2012 Due to RefiGSE single-family securitizations leapt 16.2 percent during the first three months of 2012 compared to the previous quarter as mortgage lenders delivered some $303.9 billion in home loans to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac’s securitization programs, according to an Inside The GSEs analysis. The first quarter’s flood of new business marked the fourth straight quarterly increase in production of GSE mortgage-backed securities after the market tanked in the second quarter of 2011.
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Mortgage Banking Earnings Surge in 2012, But Production Volume Flat

April 20, 2012
Mortgage bankers are reporting solid gains in profitability during the first quarter of 2012 without seeing any major increase in production volume compared to the end of last year. A new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of earnings reports from eight of the largest bank-held mortgage operations shows a solid 22.5 percent increase in mortgage banking earnings compared to the fourth quarter. All eight companies reported net profits for early 2012, including two – JPMorgan Chase and PNC Financial – that posted losses in the previous quarter. The combined $6.50 billion in first-quarter mortgage banking earnings...
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Lenders Fear Strategic Defaults in 2012

April 20, 2012
Almost half of lenders believe that strategic defaults will increase in 2012, a specter that continues to affect national housing policy. There are no reliable data regarding strategic defaults in the U.S., considering the secrecy inherent in the act. That has forced policymakers to make dollars-and-cents decisions based on conjecture about borrower behavior. A new FICO survey found that 46 percent of bank risk professionals expect the number of strategic defaults in 2012 to surpass those in 2011. Survey participants had a generally pessimistic view of homeowners’ regard for their mortgage...
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Mortgage Lenders Face Big Leap in Cyber Attacks

April 20, 2012
Whether the motivation is trendy “hacktivism” or more traditional extortion, mortgage lenders and other financial institutions are seeing large spikes in a variety of cyberattacks these days. Prolexic Technologies, a firm that helps companies combat such assaults, said there has been an almost threefold increase in the number of attacks against its financial services clients during the first quarter of 2012 compared with the fourth quarter of 2011, along with a skyrocketing increase in malicious “packet” traffic. “During 4Q11, over 168 trillion bits of data and 14 billion packets of malicious...
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CFPB Rules Likely to Cut Servicing Profits

April 20, 2012
New mortgage servicing rules unveiled recently by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau will likely result in higher mortgage servicing costs and reduced revenue for servicers although some analysts say the rules could have a positive effect on large banks. The CFPB recently previewed some of the servicing rules it plans to issue this summer and finalize by January 2013. Specifically, the rules would require monthly mortgage statements that include mortgage terms, detailed payment information, fee disclosures and loss-mitigation information for delinquent borrowers. They also call for...
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Mortgage Sales Rose Sharply in Late 2011

April 20, 2012
Mortgage banking operations owned by commercial banks posted a significant increase in loan sales during the fourth quarter, helping to push earnings higher. Bank mortgage banking units sold a total of $299.0 billion of single-family mortgages during the fourth quarter, up 20.2 percent from the previous three-month period. It was the industry’s second quarterly increase in sales volume after sinking to just $227.0 billion during the second quarter of last year. For the full year, mortgage sales came in 14.4 percent below the level reported during 2010, and the banking...(Includes one data chart)
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Mortgage Trends

April 20, 2012
Builder confidence declined nationally in April for the first time in seven months, according to the National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, though regional results were more of a mixed bag. The index moved down three notches in April to 25. It is calculated from a seasonally-adjusted index that examines builder perceptions of single-family home sales and sales expectations for the next six months, as well as the traffic of prospective buyers. Any number greater than 50 demonstrates that more builders have a positive, rather than negative, view of the conditions. The index...
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Senator Asks FHFA For ‘Clear’ GSE Repurchase Process

April 20, 2012
The Federal Housing Finance Agency should give consideration to creating a mechanism to allow small mortgage lenders to more easily appeal GSE repurchase demands, according to one U.S. senator.In a letter sent last week to FHFA Acting Director Edward DeMarco, Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, D-NH, said several of her small-business constituents have noted a “sharp increase” in repurchase demands over the last year.
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HARP 2.0’s ‘Captured Audience’ Boosts Mortgage Bankers’ Near-Term Earnings

April 19, 2012
Lenders should expect at least a short-term boost in profits from the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s recent tweaks to the Home Affordable Refinance Program, analysts say, but HARP 2.0’s long-run effectiveness to the pool of underwater borrowers remains an open question. Since January, the industry’s largest mortgage servicers, including Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase, have seen a significant uptick in new refinance applications for HARP 2.0. “This quarter should be one of the strongest quarters for mortgage banking we’ve seen in quite some time,” said FBR Capital Markets’ Paul...(Includes one data chart)
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