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Inside Mortgage Trends
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Small Gains Expected for Housing Market in 2015

February 13, 2015
Industry economists expect modest gains in home sales and a spurt in single-family housing starts in 2015, but the market likely won’t reach full strength until next year. Fannie Mae is forecasting a 5.8 percent increase in total home sales from 2014 levels, with most of the increase coming in the smaller new-home category. The near-term outlook for sales is soft, the government-sponsored enterprise said in a new outlook, based on recent indicators such as ...
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Using Default Probability Cuts Loss Exposure

February 13, 2015
Using “probability of default” values instead of credit scores to measure risk in a mortgage securitization can provide far more insight and dramatically cut loss exposure, according to a new white paper from VantageScore Solutions, a joint initiative created by the three major credit bureaus, Equifax, Experian and TransUnion. “Loan securitization has become an essential source of capital for consumer lenders of all sizes, playing a significant role in ...
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Lender-Placed Insurance Remains Hot Topic

February 13, 2015
Lender-placed insurance continues to simmer amid regulatory scrutiny and ongoing court battles, according to a recent BuckleySandler analysis. While the largest LPI class-action lawsuits have settled, servicers and LPI providers remain entangled in appeals of those settlements and in individual borrower lawsuits, said authors Robyn Quattrone and Stephen LeBlanc, partner and associate, respectively, with the Washington, DC, law firm. In addition, federal ...
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Is Cash-Out Refinance Activity Coming Back?

February 13, 2015
Cash-out refinance mortgages accounted for a slightly larger share of the conventional refi market in 2014, according to Freddie Mac’s annual refinance report. The government-sponsored enterprise estimated that cash-out deals accounted for 6.8 percent of total refinance lending last year, up from 3.7 percent in 2013. It was the highest cash-out share since 2009. During the go-go years of 2005-2007, cash-out transactions accounted for more than ...
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LOs Shying Away from Non-QMs Due to Underwriting Requirements

February 12, 2015
Brandon Ivey
“Agency product is much easier to originate,” said Eric Burner, a partner at the law firm of Hunton & Williams.
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Policymakers Weigh Relief for Small Banks, CUs From DFA, Trickle-Down Exams, Best Practices

February 12, 2015
Lawmakers and regulators alike cited the recent move by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau to liberalize its ability-to-repay rule somewhat as an example of the kind of adjustments that can be made to help ease the regulatory burden for smaller financial institutions, especially those operating in underserved markets. “A few weeks ago, the CFPB announced changes to its mortgage rules – a win for small lenders, particularly those in underserved rural areas,” said Sen. Sherrod Brown, D-OH, ranking member of the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, during a hearing early this week. “There is...
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Jumbo MBS Investor Base Shrinking; Issuance Likely to be Flat This Year

February 11, 2015
Brandon Ivey
The ABS Vegas show attracted more than 6,000 attendees, but few investors appear ready to buy new jumbo MBS.
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Is a Rollup of Residential Mortgage REITs in the Works? Don’t Bet On It

February 6, 2015
A few months, back there was scattered talk in the market that a wave of consolidation might hit publicly traded real estate investment trusts that specialize in agency MBS. But thanks to continued low interest rates and the fact that mortgage REITs continue to trade below book value, such a rollup is looking highly unlikely. “I don’t see it happening,” said Credit Suisse analyst Doug Harter. “Why would you sell for below book value when you can just liquidate?” Jason Stewart, an analyst at Compass Point Research & Trading, agrees...
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FASB Clarifies Accounting Guidance for Loans in Ginnie Mae Pools That are 90 Days or More Past Due

February 6, 2015
The Mortgage Bankers Association has secured a favorable clarification from the Financial Accounting Standards Board regarding the treatment of seriously delinquent mortgages in Ginnie Mae pools. The clarification was requested after one of the Big Four accounting firms began requiring lenders that service 90 days plus delinquent loans to put the loans on the balance sheet with an offsetting liability even if they do not intend to buy the loans out of the pool. The requirement would have been...[Includes one data chart]
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First Republic Tops Jumbo MBS Contributors

February 6, 2015
First Republic Bank was the top contributor to jumbo MBS issued in 2014, according to a new ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Officials at First Republic note that the bank tends to sell its originations of fixed-rate mortgages while adjustable-rate mortgages make for better portfolio holdings. However, the secondary market bid was strong enough for First Republic to sell some jumbo ARMs during the year, including a ... [Includes one data chart]
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