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Inside Mortgage Trends
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Price-to-Income Ratio Seen as Good Risk Gauge

December 15, 2017
Mortgages with high home price-to-income ratios tend to perform worse than mortgages with lower PTI ratios, according to economists at the Federal Reserve. The analysts suggest that PTI ratios are a helpful tool for gauging mortgage risk by tracking housing affordability. “Banks that have greater exposure of mortgages to high PTI regions have higher mortgage delinquency and charge-off rates and significantly higher probabilities of failure, even after controlling for ...
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Some Lenders Plan Hiring Binges for 2018

December 15, 2017
When it comes to hiring, mortgage banking firms aren’t quite sure what to make of the coming year, though some shops aren’t shy about planning for growth. One firm that’s squarely in the optimism column is United Wholesale Mortgage, the nation’s largest table-funder. The privately held nonbank currently employs 2,300 and hopes to add 450 next year as it tries to move up in the ranks. Mat Ishbia, president and CEO of UWM, told Inside Mortgage Trends the company is hiring in ...
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Analysts Predict Flat Mortgage Originations in 2018

December 15, 2017
Mortgage origination volumes are expected to stay flat year-over-year in 2018 at $1.65 trillion, as modestly rising purchase-mortgage volume is partially offset by declining refinances. The one bright spot is the mortgage insurance sector, according to analysts’ outlook in 2018. Sluggish mortgage activity suggests modest revenue growth in the sector with one exception – mortgage insurance, according to a Keefe, Bruyette & Woods analysis. KBW expects its “outperform” ratings for ...
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Industry Groups Lobby on Capital Gains Exclusion

December 15, 2017
A coalition of industry groups has urged the Senate Committee on Finance to retain the current capital gain exclusion on the sale of a principal residence, warning that such a provision in the Republican tax reform plan would adversely affect young families and those relocating to new jobs. Specifically, the proposal in the House and Senate versions of the tax bill would retain the $500,000 capital gain exclusion ($250,000 for unmarried taxpayers) but lengthen ownership and use requirements ...
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Short Takes: Keeping Tabs on GSE Dividends / The GOP Tax Plan and DTAs / Good News for ‘Conforming’ Jumbos? / LendingTree Getting Frothy? / First Republic Bank Stands Out in Second Liens

December 14, 2017
Paul Muolo and Brandon Ivey
The share price of online loan broker LendingTree is looking a bit pricey these days at $337.80 a unit...
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A Slow Fourth Quarter for Servicing Sales, but 1Q18 Could be a Barn-Burner

December 13, 2017
Paul Muolo
Another contributing factor to slower sales: Concerns about how the pending GOP tax bill might hammer the asset value of servicing rights...
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Looks Like the MID Cap will be $750K as Conference Committee Wraps up Work on GOP Tax Reform

December 13, 2017
Brandon Ivey
The way things stand today, the tax bill could be on track for final approval as soon as next week.
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Nonprime Lender Citadel Hopes to Hire 150 Over the Coming 12 Months

December 13, 2017
Paul Muolo
Citadel CEO Dan Perl: “We’re on a hiring spree.”
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Short Takes: GSE Dividend Payments: All Systems Go? / Cutting GSE Shareholders out of the Equation? / Wintrust Buying Mortgage Assets from VA Lender / UWM and MC Strike Deal / Chase Exec Bolts for Hamilton

December 13, 2017
Paul Muolo
In a new blog posting, Investors Unite asks the basic question: “Are Fannie’s and Freddie’s foes driving GSE reform?”
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REITs and Nonprime Lenders Look to Strike ‘Working Relationships’

December 12, 2017
Paul Muolo
Mike Fierman, managing partner and co-CEO of the Angel Oak Companies: “I get calls every day” from investment funds.
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