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Inside Mortgage Trends
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Banks Increased MBS Holdings in Late 2017, but Individual Trends Differed

February 16, 2018
John Bancroft
JPMorgan Chase and U.S. Bancorp each took different routes in shrinking their MBS portfolios…
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Revised MI Data Show Lower Government Share in 2017

February 16, 2018
John Bancroft
With $269.01 billion in flow MI business for the year, private MIs recorded a modest 0.6 percent increase from 2016.
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As Appraiser Shortage Worsens, Standards are Reduced

February 16, 2018
Brandon Ivey
Under the new AQB standards, only an associate’s degree in a field related to the appraisal industry will be required…
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GSE Credit Trends Continued Easing In 2017, Not So Much in Fourth Quarter

February 16, 2018
The credit box in Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac lending continued to widen – at a glacial rate – during 2017, according to a new Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of mortgage-backed securities disclosure data. The easing trend seemed to lose momentum slightly in the fourth quarter, as more government-sponsored enterprise business landed in the middle-risk categories. For the full year, 12.13 percent of GSE purchase loans were in the highest-risk ... [Includes two data charts]
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Mortgage Origination M&A Expected to Increase

February 16, 2018
Look for more sales of mortgage-origination platforms this year, said Jeffrey Levine, a managing director at Houlihan Lokey and co-head of the firm’s financial institutions group. He noted that in recent years, merger-and-acquisition activity has been concentrated on transfers of legacy mortgage servicing rights. But as interest rates have risen, buyers and sellers are focused on origination franchises. Independent companies that have origination assets and servicing also look to be in play ...
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High (Interest Rate) Anxiety Starts to Seep In

February 16, 2018
Residential lenders and servicers alike are keeping a close eye on rising interest rates these days but for decidedly different reasons: Originators are feeling the pain of lower application volumes, while servicers are trying to figure out when they should cash in. For the shops that both lend and service, they’re hoping that the boom in mortgage servicing rights valuations will offset reduced income from loan closings. “I would say the mood is for caution,” said executive recruiter Rick Glass ...
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Homeownership Rate on Track for Gradual Growth

February 16, 2018
The homeownership rate went up in 2017 on an annual basis for the first time since 2004, according to the U.S. Census Bureau. After falling to the lowest level on record during 2016, the homeownership rate will likely continue to climb gradually, according to industry analysts. As of the end of 2017, the homeownership rate was 64.2 percent, up from 63.7 percent the prior year. When measured at year-end, the rate peaked at 69.2 percent in 2004. “After bouncing around near 50-year lows ...
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Underwriting Standards, Loan Demand Unchanged

February 16, 2018
Lending standards for most categories of residential real estate loans generally held steady in the third quarter of 2017, even as demand weakened, according to the Federal Reserve’s latest senior loan officer opinion survey. One big exception: Mortgages eligible to be securitized by government-sponsored enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, where some easing of underwriting was detected. Banks generally “reported that standards for residential home purchase mortgage ...
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Mortgage Banking Income Down in 4Q17

February 16, 2018
Banks and thrifts reported a total of $3.12 billion in income on their mortgage-banking operations during the fourth quarter of 2017, a 12.6 percent downturn from the previous period, according to an Inside Mortgage Trends analysis of call reports. The final lap of 2017 generated the weakest quarterly profit figure for the industry since the disastrous second quarter of 2011, when banks booked a massive $9.37 billion loss on mortgage banking. Most of that loss ... [Includes one data chart]
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Mortgage Insurers Lost Market Share Late in the Year, but Industry Gained Overall in 2017

February 15, 2018
John Bancroft
After surging to an unusually high level of 26.6 percent in 2016, market share for the VA home-loan guaranty program eased to 24.1 percent last year…
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