Mortgage rates and MBS spreads may depend on how the White House structures the proposed IPO for the GSEs and how markets react to a potential merger of the two mortgage giants.
It may take time for MBS investors to fully understand how use of the new credit score for underwriting loans sold to the GSEs impacts pricing and hedge strategies.
Changes to Common Securitization Solutions, including being renamed U.S. Financial Technology, appear to set the company up to serve additional secondary mortgage market participants.
Banking regulators proposed modifying the enhanced supplementary leverage ratio that applies to large banks. If implemented, it could lead to the banks to increase their holdings of Ginnie Mae MBS.
In the wake of Trump’s social media posts pledging to retain the implicit guarantee for GSE MBS, industry analysts see signs for support for the administration’s plans for GSE reform.
President Trump attempted to mollify concerns about the post-conservatorship guarantee of GSE MBS, but questions remain about the regulatory treatment of those securities and the TBA market.
The Federal Reserve is allowing its MBS holdings to run off in a predictable manner; Ginnie provides more details on change to buydown policy; Cerberus affiliate issues securitization of closed-end second liens.
GSE watchers believe that, to appropriately compensate the taxpayer for their government guarantee, Fannie and Freddie would have to pay a commitment fee as high as $46 billion a year.
Housing finance aficionados like the prospect of a GSE exit from conservatorship that includes the retention of the Treasury’s PSPA, especially if done in conjunction with a sovereign wealth fund.