Jumbo MBS issuance isn’t likely to revive in the first quarter, and some market participants are starting to wonder if any new deals will get done by the end of March. With January almost at the mid-point there is talk that issuers – both active and wannabes – are shifting to a strategy of staying in the jumbo business as whole-loan traders as opposed to issuers. For now, it appears...

Nationally-recognized credit-rating agencies continue to show improvements in certain problem areas despite new concerns raised by federal examiners in their latest review, according to a Securities and Exchange Commission staff report. The SEC’s 2013 credit-rating agency examinations found deficiencies in eight key areas, particularly in the credit-rating agencies’ internal controls. Examiners stopped short of branding their “essential findings” as “material regulatory deficiencies,” although the SEC may do so in the future and require stronger corrective action, the report noted. Based on the latest exams, the SEC’s Office of Credit Ratings found...

The Federal Reserve’s asset purchases will continue to dominate execution of jumbo mortgage-backed security issuance until the significant purchases of agency MBS are stopped, according to analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch. The tapering of the Fed’s quantitative easing beginning this month will do little to end the advantages agency MBS have over new jumbo MBS. “We believe that the Fed’s ‘non-economic’ bid for agency MBS contributes to the distorted price advantage for agency MBS ...

After months of investor uncertainty and occasional hand-wringing, it has begun – the “tapering,” that is. This week, the Federal Reserve announced that it would scale back the growth in its agency MBS portfolio from $40 billion a month to $35 billion a month, starting in January. The central bank said it would continue to reinvest principal payments from its huge agency MBS portfolio, which was up to $1.483 trillion at the last official reading. With new production in the agency MBS market falling dramatically since April, the Fed’s target...

Analysts forecast uncertainty for the agency MBS market going into 2014 as the policy landscape reshapes itself and investors cautiously adapt to the shape of things to come. Look for 2014 to be a “year of transition” amid a slowly rising range of U.S. Treasury yields, a slowly recovering economy, and a Federal Reserve that transitions away from quantitative easing toward forward guidance, according to RBS analysts. RBS noted...

The supply of outstanding residential MBS grew by 0.3 percent during the third quarter, hitting $6.383 trillion, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. The Federal Reserve gobbled up most of the increase. Ginnie Mae remained the fastest-growing MBS product. Its $1.377 trillion in outstanding single-family MBS was up 2.6 percent from the second quarter, and it expanded by 8.1 percent from September 30, 2012. Fannie Mae posted a more modest 0.8 percent increase in single-family MBS outstanding, while the Freddie Mac supply shrank slightly. The non-agency MBS market continued...[Includes two data charts]

Non-agency MBS investors showed strong appetite for $5.1 billion in vintage securities that were auctioned last week as part of the Dutch government’s efforts to unwind a bailout of ING. Industry analysts said the successful sale shows that demand for high-yielding, low-priced bonds remains strong. The MBS sold by the Dutch State Treasury Agency were largely backed by option adjustable-rate mortgages, according to Interactive Data, a firm that tracks fixed-income products. ING and the DSTA didn’t provide pricing information on the sale. According to talk among traders before the auction, Interactive Data said...

The Aug. 28, 2013, release of the re-proposed credit risk-retention rule by federal banking and housing regulators was eagerly awaited by investors and the mortgage industry. But it’s also raised some new questions for securitizers and investors, according to a new white paper from CoreLogic. The proposed rule sets out the risk-retention provisions for securitizers that underwrite ABS, but it also exempts from those provisions all securities issued by the housing agencies, which is to say, MBS generated by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae. “Given that exemption, what are the incentives for private securitization where there is capital relief in the alternative?” the white paper asked. CoreLogic notes...

Concerns about red tape from lenders have prompted an increasing share of homebuyers to use all cash to purchase a home, according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance HousingPulse Tracking Survey. Some 29.3 percent of home purchases completed in November relied solely on cash, based on a three-month moving average. That was the third monthly increase in the share of cash transactions. Tom Popik, research director of Campbell Surveys, said...

Real estate investment trusts that focus on investing in MBS held a combined $306.3 billion of mortgage securities in portfolio at the end of the third quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. That total was down 6.4 percent from the end of June, as the industry has lost nearly all of the huge volume of MBS that were acquired in early 2012. At the end of 2011, REITs held $297.5 billion of MBS and over the next six months grew their combined portfolio by $76.7 billion, reaching a record $375.2 billion at the midway point in 2012. It’s been...[Includes one data chart]