GSE MBS investors were frustrated with limited communication from the Trump administration even before FHFA Director Bill Pulte was named acting director of national intelligence this week. The appointment prompted more speculation about the future of the GSEs.
A Federal Reserve economist estimates that a one-percentage-point steepening of the yield curve reduces the spread between mortgages and the 10-year Treasury yield by 40 basis points.
MBS investors are likely to charge a pay-up for securities backed by mortgages underwritten with VantageScore — at least until they’re confident prepayment speeds won’t accelerate.
Some large banks repositioned their portfolios to favor Ginnie pass-throughs during the first quarter of 2026, and several regional banks closed mergers that grew their MBS holdings. (Includes two data tables.)
Policies put in place during the pandemic prevent many small banks and credit unions from selling small-balance loans to the GSEs, which constrains mortgage lending in rural and low-income communities.
The value of agency MBS declined sharply following the start of the war with Iran. More recently, volatility has declined, prompting some major agency MBS investors to see continued promise in the assets.