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Another SFR MBS Hits the Market, But Investors Grow Leary of the Sector; Concerns Surface on Vacancies

March 28, 2014
Colony American Homes has come to market with a $513.6 million security backed by single-family rental homes, but some players in the space are starting to wonder if the returns on the bond will be anything special. Moody’s Investors Service and Kroll Bond Rating Agency rated the deal, which marks the second SFR securitization in four months. The other was a $479 million deal from Deutsche Bank and the Blackstone Group, which turned out to be oversubscribed. KBRA’s ratings on the Colony bond range...
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Johnson-Crapo Housing Finance Reform Bill Could Lead to Higher Mortgage Rates

March 27, 2014
The cost of borrowing for many homebuyers could rise as a consequence of the Senate’s newest housing finance reform legislation if it’s enacted as is, according to an analysis by Barclays. The bill, filed last week by Sens. Tim Johnson, D-SD, and Mike Crapo, R-ID, would replace Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac with a new mortgage-backed securities program for conventional mortgages that requires private investors to take the first 10 percent of losses. The Barclays analysis found...
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Fed Cuts in MBS Purchases Track Declining New Issuance As Central Bank Continues to Crowd Out Other Investors

March 21, 2014
The Federal Open Market Committee this week voted to scale back the central bank’s purchases of agency MBS again, dropping the monthly growth target to $25 billion, but the deceleration is barely keeping even with the rapid slowdown in new MBS issuance. At its December meeting, the FOMC decided to drop its MBS purchases to a pace that would add $35 billion per month, and lowered that by another $5 billion at its January meeting. The program began in late 2012 at $40 billion a month. The central bank will continue to reinvest principal and interest payments on its holdings in the agency MBS market. The most recent available data show...[Includes two data charts]
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Fed Purchases Likely Will End This Fall, Interest Rates Could Rise Six Months After

March 21, 2014
New Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said this week that the U.S. central bank’s bond purchase program will likely end this fall as the Fed Open Market Committee announced, as expected, a further pullback in its agency MBS purchases. Beginning in April, the FOMC said it will add to its agency MBS holdings at a pace of $25 billion per month rather than $30 billion per month. If the slowdown continues at its current pace, the Fed will stop growing its MBS holdings late this summer. The FOMC also updated...
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GSE Reform in Congress, Investor Lawsuits, Impact On Industry Will Influence Housing Debate in 2014

March 21, 2014
The agreement among Republicans, Democrats and the White House for the need to act and the heightened urgency to pass legislation before a potential shift in power after the mid-term elections could determine the outlook for housing reform legislation in 2014, according to analysts. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac reform efforts in Congress and investor lawsuits are helping shape the housing debate this year, and the recently issued Johnson-Crapo draft legislation is the bill to watch going forward, said Bloomberg Industries analysts this week. The profitability of the two government-sponsored enterprises in 2013 not only fueled...
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Fannie and Freddie Could Be Worth $170 Billion in Fire Sale, But Private Investors May See Little or None of It

March 20, 2014
If Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are eventually liquidated, the federal government could reap between $170 billion and $234 billion in net proceeds, according to a new audit of the firms, but that doesn’t mean the junior preferred stockholders in the two will see a dime of that money. The newly released Johnson-Crapo mortgage finance reform bill provides no relief to investors in the junior preferred or owners of common stock in the two government-sponsored enterprises, leaving all liquidation proceeds to the U.S. Treasury, which owns the senior preferred shares. Over the past 18 months, several high-profile private-equity firms – Fairholme Capital, Pershing Square and Perry Capital, to name a few – have invested...
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REIT MBS Holdings Fell Sharply in Declining New Issuance Market Dominated by the Federal Reserve

March 14, 2014
Publicly traded real estate investment trusts reported a 13.5 percent decline in their holdings of residential MBS during the fourth quarter, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. The industry reported $264.8 billion of residential MBS at the end of 2013, a 26.4 percent drop from the fourth quarter of 2012. The five largest REIT MBS investors all reported double-digit drops during the final three months of 2013, while the mid-range companies generally had smaller declines and three smaller firms actually grew their portfolios. At the top of the table, Annaly Capital Management reported...[Includes one data chart]
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SCOTUS Agrees to Review MBS-Related Tolling, Decision Could Give Investors More Flexibility

March 14, 2014
The U.S. Supreme Court has added two more lawsuits to its growing list of securities cases by agreeing to take up an IndyMac MBS suit. In Public Employees’ Retirement System of Mississippi v. IndyMac MBS Inc. et al, SCOTUS has agreed to consider whether the filing of a class-action lawsuit tolls the three-year statute of repose under the Securities Act of 1933 or whether the statute is an absolute bar that cannot be suspended. Like a statute of limitations, a statute of repose cuts off...
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TMPG Supports FINRA’s Amendments for TBA Transactions, But Industry Rep Warns of Problems

March 14, 2014
Members of the Treasury Markets Practice Group are supportive of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority’s recent proposal to establish margin requirements for transactions in the “to be announced” market, seeing them as compatible with what the TMPG itself is trying to accomplish with the same products. According to the minutes of a recent meeting, TMPG members noted that FINRA’s proposed rule amendments would be binding across FINRA’s membership, which would further the objectives of the TMPG’s agency MBS margining recommendation and encourage wider adoption of margining practices over time. “While recognizing that the TMPG’s margining best practices go...
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House Lawmakers Look at Federal Reserve’s Role in Credit Allocation, Seek to Ensure Its ‘Independence’

March 14, 2014
Favorable shifts in macroeconomic conditions have contributed to a rise in single-family rentals and an increase in the investment in these properties by institutional buyers, prompting Moody’s Investors Service to release its criteria for rating the emerging single-family rental securitization market. The criteria come four months after Moody’s rated Invitation Homes 2013-SFR. The rating agency awarded $278.7 million in triple-A ratings for the largest tranche of the deal. “A slowly improving economy will boost...
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