Over the past two weeks, MBS prices have been on a downward trajectory, leading some market watchers to ponder whether the long-awaited correction in values is finally upon the industry. But no one is quite ready to wave the white flag. Moreover, there’s a school of thought that says any rise in the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond could be short lived and, at some time over the next six to 12 months, rates might head south again, igniting yet another small refi rally. Some also believe the chance of a recession is in the cards. Barry Habib, who runs MBS Highway, a rate-locking advisory service, thinks...

The proposed standards drafted by the Structured Finance Industry Group regarding mortgage disclosure rules will help address issues in the non-agency market, according to investors and rating services. Moody’s Investors Service hosted a meeting last week with a group of investors, issuers and others involved in non-agency MBS. Among other issues, the group discussed the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau’s combined Truth in Lending Act and the ...

Clayton Holdings was rated as a deal agent for non-agency mortgage-backed securities last week. The rating by Morningstar Credit Ratings was the first formal assessment of a deal agent, a role aimed at improving protections for investors in new non-agency MBS. Morningstar also assessed Clayton as a representation-and-warranty reviewer, assigning ratings of MOR RV2 for both functions. The firm’s rating scale ranges from RV1 to RV4 and Morningstar said it is the only ...

For the issuance of mortgage-backed securities with non-qualified mortgages to take off, industry analysts suggest that banks need to play a larger role. To this point, nonbanks have been the only issuers of non-QM MBS. Ron D’Vari and Timothy Bernstein, analysts at New Oak, authored an overview of non-QM MBS issued in the latest issue of The Journal of Structured Finance, which was published this month. The analysts said real estate investment trusts and hedge funds ...

A group of investors pushed back against suggestions that so-called private capital won’t return to the market for new non-agency mortgage-backed securities. The Association of Mortgage Investors took exception to recent comments by Timothy Mayopoulos, president and CEO of Fannie Mae. He predicted that the non-agency MBS market won’t come back due to significant losses suffered during the financial crisis. However, the AMI said the government-sponsored enterprises are ...

Despite low inventory and financing conditions that can favor other types of homebuyers, first-timers are increasing their market share, according to the latest Campbell/Inside Mortgage FinanceHousingPulse Tracking Survey. First-time homebuyers accounted for 38.9 percent of home purchases in April, based on a three-month moving average. That was up from a 38.1 percent share the previous month and a 37.2 percent share in April 2015. “Demand from first-time homebuyers is...

Analysts at Moody’s Investors Service believe that the Structured Finance Industry Group’s draft proposal on the CFPB’s integrated disclosure rule, otherwise known as TRID, generally is up to the task of addressing the relevant risks for U.S. residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS), notwithstanding the uncertainty associated with the pending clarifying rulemaking from the bureau. The rule merges the mortgage disclosures mandated by the Truth in Lending Act and the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act. “SFIG’s draft proposal to standardize the framework for reviewing and grading loans for TILA-RESPA Integrated Disclosure (TRID) rule compliance is adequate to identify those compliance risks that are likely to cause losses to RMBS trusts, aside from one grading provision with which we disagree,” said Moody’s Credit ...

Real estate investment trusts that specialize in the residential MBS market held $232.44 billion of agency and non-agency MBS at the end of March, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis. The MBS holdings of 16 top mortgage REITs were down 0.3 percent from the fourth quarter and off 11.9 percent from March 2015. However, several REITs boosted their positions during early 2016 and the industry is slated to see a major merger of two firms ... [Includes one data chart]

Issuance of jumbo MBS has fallen off since mortgage disclosure requirements set by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau took effect in October. While the slowdown in jumbo MBS issuance has been blamed on TRID, there still appears to be plenty of demand from secondary market investors for jumbo whole loans. Redwood Trust’s jumbo origination and sales volume has been humming along without much impact from the CFPB’s combined Truth in Lending Act and ...

A New York state court dismissed two mortgage repurchase actions filed by the government against Morgan Stanley, while Bank of America agreed to another settlement related to non-agency MBS issued by Countrywide Financial. Last month, Justice Marcy Friedman of the New York Supreme Court dismissed two residential MBS lawsuits filed by the Federal Housing Finance Agency against Morgan Stanley ABS Capital I Inc. and Morgan Stanley Mortgage Capital ...