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Nonbanks’ Share of Government-Insured Market Growing Rapidly

July 1, 2016
Ginnie Mae has good reason to be concerned about rapid demographic change in its relatively small issuer community. Nonbank institutions – many of them relatively newly formed and based on nontraditional business models – are taking over the market. Nonbank issuers accounted for a whopping 69.4 percent of Ginnie’s issuance of single-family mortgage-backed securities during the first quarter of 2016. A year ago, their share was 64.6 percent. Two years ago it was 46.7 percent. With those kinds of gains on the production line, it’s not hard to see why nonbanks are claiming a growing share of Ginnie servicing outstanding. At the end of March, nonbanks owned 46.7 percent of Ginnie single-family mortgage servicing rights, up a hefty 11.5 percentage points in one year. That rate of growth can’t be accomplished just by producing new MBS because the servicing market simply doesn’t grow that fast. (Although the Ginnie market has grown significantly faster than any other segment of ... [ 2 charts ]
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Faltering Mortgage Stocks Tough on Analysts as Well; No Nonbank Mortgage IPOs Until Next Year, If Then…

June 30, 2016
CRT Capital Group has begun winding down its mortgage research division, Sterne Agee CRT, casting a shadow over publicly traded residential stocks and dashing the hopes of any nonbanks that were hoping to pull off an initial public offering this year. As one equities researcher told Inside Mortgage Finance this week: “It’s not fun being a stock analyst these days.” And commenting on the recent – and unexpected – drop in rates, he added: “Some of these firms may get smoked.” Four years ago, Sterne Agee was...
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SFIG Publishes Standards to Help Non-Agency MBS Market Address TRID Issues, But CFPB Guidance Seen as Critical

June 24, 2016
The Structured Finance Industry Group late last week published a final draft of the standards for due diligence firms to use when testing loans for compliance with the Truth in Lending Act/Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act disclosure rule. “The underlying premise of this documentation is to establish a best practices approach to pre-securitization testing logic that will drive the due diligence conducted by third-party review firms,” SFIG said. The RMBS 3.0 TRID Compliance Review Scope documentation addresses...
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Single-Security Transition Could Become Model for Figuring Out What to Do With GSE MBS After Reform

June 24, 2016
Mortgage-finance reform doesn’t look to be anywhere on the horizon, but at some point government policymakers will have to figure out what to do with trillions of dollars of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac MBS if the two government-sponsored enterprises are put out to pasture. In fact, the transition to a new GSE single security that’s scheduled to start in 2018 could become a test run of sorts for the even bigger changes ahead, according to a paper published by the Urban Institute. Crafted by five mortgage-industry veterans, “A More Promising Road to GSE Reform” is centered on the creation of a new government corporation that would replace Fannie and Freddie. The National Mortgage Reinsurance Corp. would issue...
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Commercial MBS Issuers Still Unsure of How to Comply with Risk-Retention Requirements that Take Effect in December

June 17, 2016
With time ticking toward a Dec. 24 compliance date, issuers of commercial MBS continue to try to develop structures that will meet risk-retention requirements. Richard Jones, a partner at the Dechert law firm, warned that the industry is “in trouble.” In an analysis published this month, he wrote, “We as an industry don’t have a scalable solution to the problem. We … do not know what this will cost, who will pay for it, and to what extent this is an existential risk to commercial real estate capital formation as it has been conducted for the past 25 years.” He noted...
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Fed’s Pause on Rate Hikes Means a Correction In MBS Prices Could be a Long Way Off

June 17, 2016
The long-awaited correction in MBS prices was put on hold this week with the news that the Federal Reserve isn’t ready to hike interest rates anytime soon. Moreover, now there’s a growing belief among some economists and mortgage market watchers that the central bank may not raise interest rates at all this year. And there’s even a school of thought that suggests the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond might hit 1.0 percent before it reaches 2.0 percent. As Inside MBS & ABS went to press this week, the 10-year was...
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UI Suggests GSEs Avoid Overreliance on STACR, CAS Credit-Risk Transfers to Prevent Future Rate Volatility

June 17, 2016
The Urban Institute is warning against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac putting all of their eggs into one credit-risk transfer basket. The CRT programs at the two government-sponsored enterprises have relied heavily on structured debt notes sold to capital market investors – Freddie’s Structured Agency Credit Risk and Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities – as well as reinsurance. Although the influx of private capital is a good thing, Karan Kaul, research associate with UI, said...
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USDA Securitization Down in 1Q16, Agency to Lower Premium, Fees

June 17, 2016
Ginnie Mae securitization of rural home loans got off to a wobbly start in the first quarter of 2016 as securitization volume fell 13.8 percent from the prior quarter, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of Ginnie data. Approximately $3.9 billion in loans with a USDA guarantee were securitized during the first three months, with the top five issuers accounting for $2.1 billion of mortgage-backed securities produced by the segment during the period. USDA securitization volume dropped 9.2 percent year over year. Top USDA issuer Chase Home Finance accounted for $1.2 billion of securitized rural housing loans, while PennyMac, in distant second place, finished the quarter with $378.5 million. Wells Fargo ($294.0 million), Pacific Union Financial ($122.8 million) and Amerihome Mortgage ($102.2 million), in sequential order, comprised the rest of the top five issuers. Pacific Union climbed over ...
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Seneca’s Outsourcing Deal with Nationstar Could Be a Sign that PE Firms Are No Longer in Love with MSR

June 16, 2016
Seneca Mortgage Servicing LLC, which entered the business just three years ago, has decided to outsource the monthly processing of loans to Nationstar, a sign that private-equity firms are no longer so enamored with the returns generated by mortgage servicing rights. According to a statement issued by Nationstar, it will service all of Seneca’s $50 billion portfolio and any rights Seneca might obtain going forward. Moreover, it will take control of the firm’s Depew platform in upstate New York. No terms were disclosed. However, according to interviews with servicing advisors, Seneca – whose backers include The Blackstone Group, EJF Capital and Arbor Commercial Mortgage – may not be...
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Fannie Details Types of Loans that Will be Included In New MBS Backed by Re-Performing Mortgages

June 10, 2016
Fannie Mae plans to start issuing MBS backed by single-family, fixed-rate re-performing mortgages later this year. This week, the government-sponsored enterprise detailed some of the types of loans that will be included in the planned issuance. Both loans that cured on their own and mortgages that received a modification will be eligible for the new RPL securitization program. Among other factors, the mortgages must have been performing for at least six months. Loans modified via the Home Affordable Modification Program will be eligible for the MBS along with loans modified through the GSE’s proprietary mod programs. A number of different loan types will be excluded...
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