Real estate investment trusts that focus on residential MBS continued to pare their investments in the fourth quarter, a trend that may last through the remainder of the year. Interest rate volatility and continued reports of “illiquidity” in the MBS market remain key factors plaguing the sector. Still, prices for agency product remain strong and, as Inside MBS & ABS noted recently, commercial banks and thrifts continue to add to their holdings, which reached a record $1.643 trillion at yearend 2015. The 16 public mortgage REITs tracked by this publication held $233.17 billion of MBS at year-end, 92.4 percent of which included Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae product. The non-agency market continues to shrink as legacy nonprime securities ...

In another legacy residential MBS legal action, the California Public Employees’ Retirement System this week reached a record $130 million settlement with Moody’s Investors Service over the ratings service’s allegedly erroneous ratings of AAA-rated structured investment vehicles in the run-up to the financial crisis. Back in 2009, CalPERS sued Moody’s – along with Standard & Poor’s and Fitch Ratings – after the pension fund claimed massive losses from investments in three structured investment vehicles that depended on the liquidity of assets that proved to be illiquid, such as subprime MBS, collateralized debt obligations and other ABS. In the lawsuit, CalPERS accused Moody’s of making “negligent misrepresentations” by assigning its highest credit rating to the investments. This caused significant losses as the market ...

Falling oil prices may have little impact on residential MBS even if distressed prime jumbo borrowers in oil-producing states were to default on their loans, according to Standard & Poor’s. The rating agency’s optimistic conclusion may be good news to investors concerned that job cuts in the oil industry will lead to high default rates among prime jumbo borrowers, particularly in states where a high percentage of workers are in oil production. Market information suggests that values of prime jumbo MBS in oil-producing states are being affected, as the market factors in the risk of losses arising from borrower defaults in these regions, the S&P report said. However, it is unclear whether the additional spread on MBS with high concentrations ...

Two Harbors Investment is preparing to issue a jumbo mortgage-backed security that will include loans subject to the TRID integrated disclosure rule. The deal could help resolve the so-called “TRID-lock” seen in the jumbo secondary market as industry participants try to sort out the liability posed by the controversial rule. “TRID has proved to be a very strong headwind,” Diane Wold, a managing director at Two Harbors, said last week at the ABS Vegas conference produced by ...

One of the major obstacles to increased issuance of non-agency mortgage-backed securities remains the lack of a deal agent to protect investors. Until last week, investors had not even agreed on the general responsibilities for a deal agent, suggesting that the implementation of the concept was a long way off. A working group, co-led by Alessandro Pagani, head of securitized assets at Loomis, Sayles & Company, announced principles for a deal agent last week ...

With only a few isolated exceptions, VA and FHA lending was up sharply across the country last year, outstripping the private mortgage insurance business in nearly every state of the U.S., according to a new analysis by Inside FHA/VA Lending. Overall, FHA single-family mortgages securitized by Ginnie Mae increased 60.5 percent from 2014 and VA production was up 39.4 percent. Meanwhile, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac posted a more subdued 26.2 percent increase in privately-insured loan volume. California remained the biggest mortgage market for the FHA, VA and private MIs, as well as uninsured mortgages. The FHA clearly won the mortgage insurance battle, boosting its share of insured loans in the Golden State from 41.1 percent in 2014 to 49.2 percent last year thanks to a whopping 89.8 percent jump in business. California had one of the highest concentrations of ... [ 3 charts ]

Ginnie Mae securitization of rural home loans declined in 2015 as securitization volume in the segment fell in the fourth quarter, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of Ginnie Mae data. A total of $18.1 billion in USDA loans were securitized in 2015, with the top five issuers accounting for $10.2 billion delivered into Ginnie (based on numbers below) MBS pools. Some $4.5 billion of MBS backed by rural home loans with the U.S. Department of Agriculture guarantee were issued in the fourth quarter, down 12.5 percent from the previous quarter. USDA MBS issuance also dropped 9.0 percent in 2015 from 2014 volume levels, with all of the top five issuers losing ground year-over-year as well as in the fourth quarter. Chase Home Finance remained the top issuer of securitized rural home loans, accounting for $5.6 billion in Ginnie MBS issuances last year. Second-place Wells Fargo, ... [ 1 chart ]

Agency issuance of single-family MBS declined by 9.5 percent from January to February, largely based on a seasonal slump in purchase-mortgage activity, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS ranking and analysis. Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae produced a total of $80.49 billion of single-family MBS in February, their lowest combined monthly output since November 2014. The biggest decline was in purchase-mortgage activity, which fell 14.9 percent for the month. The refinance sector held up...[Includes two data tables]

A working group led by potential investors in new non-agency MBS detailed principles for the role of a deal agent this week, signifying some progress in reform efforts. However, a revival of the non-agency MBS market looks a ways off as other industry participants consider how a deal agent will actually function. “We are now at a transition point for non-agency MBS reform efforts, where some market participants can start moving from a principles-level discussion to contractual negotiations,” Monique Rollins, deputy assistant secretary at the Treasury Department, said at the ABS Vegas conference produced by Information Management Network and the Structured Finance Industry Group. The Treasury helped facilitate...

Years of warnings from securities issuers and investors about regulatory uncertainty appear to have shifted to actual consequences as liquidity in the MBS and ABS markets has declined significantly in recent months. Almost every panel session at the ABS Vegas conference produced by Information Management Network and the Structured Finance Industry Group this week included comments regarding liquidity and regulation. Daniel McGarvey, the head of U.S. asset-backed products origination at Societe Generale, noted that in recent months spreads on MBS and ABS have increased due to illiquidity. “Credit risk is not currently a driver of credit spreads,” he said. “This should be a concern for all of us in the securitization market.” Delinquencies and losses, traditional factors in liquidity, remain...