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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » Agency MBS

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Fed’s Pause on Rate Hikes Means a Correction In MBS Prices Could be a Long Way Off

June 17, 2016
The long-awaited correction in MBS prices was put on hold this week with the news that the Federal Reserve isn’t ready to hike interest rates anytime soon. Moreover, now there’s a growing belief among some economists and mortgage market watchers that the central bank may not raise interest rates at all this year. And there’s even a school of thought that suggests the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury bond might hit 1.0 percent before it reaches 2.0 percent. As Inside MBS & ABS went to press this week, the 10-year was...
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UI Suggests GSEs Avoid Overreliance on STACR, CAS Credit-Risk Transfers to Prevent Future Rate Volatility

June 17, 2016
The Urban Institute is warning against Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac putting all of their eggs into one credit-risk transfer basket. The CRT programs at the two government-sponsored enterprises have relied heavily on structured debt notes sold to capital market investors – Freddie’s Structured Agency Credit Risk and Fannie’s Connecticut Avenue Securities – as well as reinsurance. Although the influx of private capital is a good thing, Karan Kaul, research associate with UI, said...
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USDA Securitization Down in 1Q16, Agency to Lower Premium, Fees

June 17, 2016
Ginnie Mae securitization of rural home loans got off to a wobbly start in the first quarter of 2016 as securitization volume fell 13.8 percent from the prior quarter, according to an Inside FHA/VA Lending analysis of Ginnie data. Approximately $3.9 billion in loans with a USDA guarantee were securitized during the first three months, with the top five issuers accounting for $2.1 billion of mortgage-backed securities produced by the segment during the period. USDA securitization volume dropped 9.2 percent year over year. Top USDA issuer Chase Home Finance accounted for $1.2 billion of securitized rural housing loans, while PennyMac, in distant second place, finished the quarter with $378.5 million. Wells Fargo ($294.0 million), Pacific Union Financial ($122.8 million) and Amerihome Mortgage ($102.2 million), in sequential order, comprised the rest of the top five issuers. Pacific Union climbed over ...
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Mortgage Debt Outstanding Climbs Over $10 Trillion Mark for First Time Since 2012; Nonbanks Keep Rolling

June 16, 2016
The supply of single-family home loan debt in early 2016 grew for the fourth consecutive quarter to hit $10.008 trillion, its highest level in three and a half years, according to Federal Reserve data released late last week. The first-quarter gain was a modest 0.2 percent from the end of last year, and a 1.5 percent increase from March 2015. But the servicing market is a slow-changing glacier, and steady increases over the past year are another indicator that the mortgage market has largely recovered from the housing recession. Most of the gain came...[Includes two data tables]
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Seneca’s Outsourcing Deal with Nationstar Could Be a Sign that PE Firms Are No Longer in Love with MSR

June 16, 2016
Seneca Mortgage Servicing LLC, which entered the business just three years ago, has decided to outsource the monthly processing of loans to Nationstar, a sign that private-equity firms are no longer so enamored with the returns generated by mortgage servicing rights. According to a statement issued by Nationstar, it will service all of Seneca’s $50 billion portfolio and any rights Seneca might obtain going forward. Moreover, it will take control of the firm’s Depew platform in upstate New York. No terms were disclosed. However, according to interviews with servicing advisors, Seneca – whose backers include The Blackstone Group, EJF Capital and Arbor Commercial Mortgage – may not be...
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Fitch Says Thin Track Record Caps Rating For New Nonprime MBS Issued by Lone Star

June 10, 2016
A $161.71 million MBS planned by Lone Star Funds backed by newly originated nonprime mortgages received an A rating this week from DBRS and Fitch Ratings. The deal is the first post-crisis nonprime MBS to receive a credit rating and it will be the largest post-crisis nonprime MBS issued to date. The rating services stressed that while the mortgages originated by Lone Star’s Caliber Home Loans are generally nonprime, the underwriting on the loans is relatively strong. However, Fitch said it capped the rating at A due to the limited nonprime performance of Caliber and Hudson Americas, the asset manager for the MBS. “As more post-crisis non-prime performance is established while upholding appropriate controls, Fitch will consider...
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Fannie Details Types of Loans that Will be Included In New MBS Backed by Re-Performing Mortgages

June 10, 2016
Fannie Mae plans to start issuing MBS backed by single-family, fixed-rate re-performing mortgages later this year. This week, the government-sponsored enterprise detailed some of the types of loans that will be included in the planned issuance. Both loans that cured on their own and mortgages that received a modification will be eligible for the new RPL securitization program. Among other factors, the mortgages must have been performing for at least six months. Loans modified via the Home Affordable Modification Program will be eligible for the MBS along with loans modified through the GSE’s proprietary mod programs. A number of different loan types will be excluded...
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Jumbo MBS Issuance Resumes Even as Industry Waits for Formal Guidance on TRID from CFPB

June 10, 2016
The so-called TRID-lock seen in the jumbo MBS market since October appears to be easing as both Redwood Trust and JPMorgan Chase have come to market with deals that include some loans with compliance problems. Before this week, only one jumbo MBS included mortgages subject to TRID, a deal from Two Harbors Investment in March. Many industry participants blamed...
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CMBS Loss Severities Dip in First Quarter, But Are Still Higher Than Historical Average, Moody’s Finds

June 10, 2016
The weighted average loan loss severity for U.S. commercial MBS was 49.3 percent for the 139 loans liquidated in the first three months of 2016, versus 58.2 percent for 240 loans liquidated in the last three months of 2015, which was the highest quarterly loss severity since 2010, Moody’s Investors Service said in a new quarterly report. However, “In both quarters, severities topped the weighted average of 42.8 percent for loans liquidated between Jan. 1, 2000, and March 31, 2016,” the ratings service added. The Moody’s report tracks...
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Fannie Releases Re-performing Loan Data Ahead of Securitization

June 10, 2016
In anticipation of plans to securitize loans that had been previously delinquent, this week Fannie Mae announced that it will release historical data on some 700,000 re-performing loans. The release, scheduled for July, will include updated credit scores and loan-to-value ratios at issuance. This coincides with Fannie’s efforts to become more transparent and give the market the ability to analyze how these re-performing loans, or RPLs, have performed over ...
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