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Home » Topics » Inside MBS & ABS » Agency MBS

Agency MBS
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Ginnie Lifts April’s Agency MBS Production Up Slightly from March as Refi Volume Slumps

May 5, 2017
Total issuance of agency single-family MBS rose a scant 0.6 percent from March to April, according to a new Inside MBS & ABS analysis and ranking. All of the increase came from Ginnie Mae issuance, which rose 16.1 percent from March, hitting $36.30 billion in April. Things were different for the two government-sponsored enterprises: Fannie Mae saw a 3.4 percent decline from the previous month and Freddie Mac volume was down 13.0 percent. Ginnie fared...[Includes two data tables]
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GSEs Keep Pushing to Expand Credit Box, Stay on Track for Single Security in 2 Years

May 5, 2017
Officials at Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and their regulator are encouraged by – but by no means satisfied with – the progress made by the government-sponsored enterprises and their customers at expanding the credit box. “We do see an expansion of credit, steady growth in the 97 percent [loan to value ratio] programs and a little better distribution of credit scores,” said Bob Ryan, special advisor and acting deputy director at the Federal Housing Finance Agency during remarks at the secondary market conference sponsored by the Mortgage Bankers Association in New York this week. “But they are still skewed to the higher end more than in the past.” Fannie and Freddie are trying...
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Faltering Growth May Ease Fed’s Inflation Concerns; FOMC Holds Rates, Investment Strategy Steady

May 5, 2017
With domestic economic growth stagnating in the first quarter as consumer debt levels continue to climb, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee this week opted to leave interest rates unchanged and to maintain the status quo when it comes to its agency MBS investment strategy. The Bureau of Economic Analysis put the rate of growth in gross domestic product at 0.7 percent, versus the 2.1 percent growth seen in the fourth quarter of 2016, suggesting that the economic recovery from the Great Recession may be getting long in the tooth. At the same time, on the consumer front, a new study from Northwestern Mutual found...
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Former Rating Service Official Proposes Materiality Standards for Reps and Warrants on Non-Agency MBS

May 5, 2017
As industry participants continue to work on revamping standards and practices in the non-agency MBS market, Mark Adelson proposed a number of materiality standards for representations and warranties on new issuance. Adelson is an independent consultant and was S&P Global Ratings’ chief credit officer from May 2008 until December 2011. Adelson published his proposal in the latest issue of The Journal of Structured Finance, which he edits. Adelson focused...
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Vacancy Rate for Single-Family Rental Securitizations Hits Record Low, Spring Augurs Well for Sector

May 5, 2017
The vacancy rate across single-borrower, single-family rental securitizations rated by Morningstar Credit Ratings fell to its lowest level in a year, as high retention rates for full-term leases kept performance in the sector within expectations, according to a company report. The vacancy rate dropped to 4.1 percent in March, driven by an improving average retention rate, which rose for the third consecutive month, the report said. The average retention rate for all single-borrower, single-family rental securitizations now stands at 79.5 percent, it noted. In addition, the overall turnover rate held...
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Changes Proposed by S&P to Non-Agency MBS Rating Criteria Would Favor Prime Mortgages

April 28, 2017
S&P Global Ratings proposed changes this week to its criteria for rating non-agency MBS. The changes would provide higher ratings to certain tranches of non-agency MBS backed by new prime mortgages while prompting lower ratings for new issuance backed by seasoned mortgages. The rating service is considering a number of adjustments to foreclosure assumptions, loss severity projections and changes relating to the evaluation of qualitative factors. “The proposed revisions to our methodologies and assumptions are...
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SFIG Calls for More Certainty on Reg AB2 Disclosure, Changes to Capital Requirements for MBS and ABS

April 28, 2017
As Congress considers changes to the Dodd-Frank Act and other regulatory reforms, the Structured Finance Industry Group weighed in with a white paper detailing various regulatory reforms sought by participants in the MBS and ABS markets. One of the top priorities for the trade group is the so-called Regulation AB2, which sets loan-level disclosure requirements for securities. The Securities and Exchange Commission set...
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Moody’s, Fitch Pummel Ocwen with Downgrades Following Legal Actions by CFPB, State Regulators

April 28, 2017
Ocwen Financial’s travails continued to worsen this week after rating agencies announced adverse ratings actions amid the servicer’s mounting regulatory and legal problems. On April 24, Moody’s Investors Service placed Ocwen’s servicer assessment on review for a possible downgrade. On April 25, Fitch Ratings revised its previous rosy affirmation of the company’s primary servicer rating and stable outlook to negative. Both firms said the ratings actions were due to the increased regulatory scrutiny on Ocwen’s servicing operations, which could lead to hefty penalties that could pose a threat to the company’s financial stability. On April 20, a consortium of state mortgage regulators filed...
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Bank Holdings of Non-Agency MBS Dwindle

April 28, 2017
Holdings of non-agency mortgage-backed securities by most banks and thrifts are declining, according to a ranking and analysis by Inside Nonconforming Markets. Banks and thrifts held $63.00 billion of non-agency MBS as of the end of 2016, down 23.9 percent from the end of 2015. The holdings are concentrated among five banks, which accounted for 64.9 percent of all non-agency MBS held by the industry as of the end of 2016. JPMorgan Chase held ... [Includes one data chart]
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FHA/VA Default Rates Down In Seasonal Shift in Early 2017

April 28, 2017
Mortgage default rates for FHA and VA loans followed seasonal trends and shifted significantly lower in the first quarter of 2017, according to a new analysis and servicer ranking by Inside FHA/VA Lending. While both portfolios showed strong growth in the dollar volume of loans outstanding in Ginnie Mae mortgage-backed securities, there were also huge declines in the number of loans past due. Some $1.036 trillion of FHA forward mortgages were in Ginnie pools at the end of March, up 1.1 percent from the previous quarter. But delinquency rates for the less-severe categories of late payment were down sharply. The number of FHA loans 30-60 days past due, for example, declined by 28.4 percent, lowering the delinquency rate by 1.51 percentage points, leaving it just about where it was a year ago. The same thing happened in the VA sector. Total VA supply grew 3.2 percent to ... [Charts]
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